Covid-19 by the numbers. Cases update thread: Graphs and summaries appreciated!

AnnieA

AnnieA

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Down South
Please post stats only here.

For ease of reading, please cover only one nation (or one state) data per post.
 

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United States: 8 March 2020

Only this graph needs updating because the US 'official' number is now 484. Due to multiple testing fails by the CDC early on, 5,000+ is more likely. As more tests go out next week (thank you FDA!) and state health departments, medical universities start testing in house (again, thanks to the FDA), we'll have 'somewhat' more accurate numbers within a couple of weeks.

Edit: 8 March 2020 5:27 pm US cases at 529
 

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Interesting data but meaningless without number or percentage of deaths and of those left with serious, life-threatening aftereffects.
 
gennie said:
Interesting data but meaningless without number or percentage of deaths and of those left with serious, life-threatening aftereffects.
Click to expand...

We won't know here right away because we have just started the roll out of accurate tests. This epidemiologist for the University of Tennessee explained the difficulty at yesterday's press conference re the first case in Memphis:

Dr. Jon McCullers, infectious disease expert at the University of Tennessee says it’s very possible more cases will be reported here soon.​
“It would not be surprising if there is some coronavirus being mistaken for flu. We are not testing extensively yet for coronavirus.”​
With limited test kits in the state, “we could have a lot of coronavirus out there,” he said.​

We can look at Italy's numbers to get an idea of how the serious/critical numbers shake out. They seem to be testing well and have also seem to have honest people at the helm. They've been running at appx 10% in serious/critical condition the past few days.
 
AnnieA said:
We won't know here right away because we have just started the roll out of accurate tests. This epidemiologist for the University of Tennessee explained the difficulty at yesterday's press conference re the first case in Memphis:

Dr. Jon McCullers, infectious disease expert at the University of Tennessee says it’s very possible more cases will be reported here soon.​
“It would not be surprising if there is some coronavirus being mistaken for flu. We are not testing extensively yet for coronavirus.”​
With limited test kits in the state, “we could have a lot of coronavirus out there,” he said.​

We can look at Italy's numbers to get an idea of how the serious/critical numbers shake out. They seem to be testing well and have also seem to have honest people at the helm. They've been running at appx 10% in serious/critical condition the past few days.
Click to expand...
That's exactly it Annie. They have just scratched the surface with this outbreak. Considering the number of infected who are asymptomatic, there's no way to give accurate statistics at this time. The asymptomatic will pass it on to others, some who are high risk, very vulnerable, immune system compromised patients and will get very sickened by it.
 
OneEyedDiva said:
That's exactly it Annie. They have just scratched the surface with this outbreak. Considering the number of infected who are asymptomatic, there's no way to give accurate statistics at this time. The asymptomatic will pass it on to others, some who are high risk, very vulnerable, immune system compromised patients and will get very sickened by it.
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Plus it has an incubation period of 1 - 15 days to complicate the issue which is why if anyone even suspects they may have been exposed, they should be able to get tested.
 
Update. Governor of MA. has declared a state of emergency as the number of cases more than doubled yesterday from 41 to 96. There's a confirmed case in my hometown.
I took some time off and took my octogenarian mom out to buy food and necessities. The stores are picked clean of toilet paper. Very little paper towels left. Food is doing okay so far as they are restocking very quickly at the present time. Water, milk, cereal, peanut butter are flying out fast as are fresh veggies and fruit.

If I suddenly go MIA you'll know why. If I go MIA permanently, you'll know that too.

Peace and be well. - Chic.
 
SeekingAlpha update this morning =

Around 70M to 150M people in the U.S. will become infected with COVID-19, according to Dr. Brian Monahan, the attending physician of Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. The Fed is raising the maximum offering of its daily operations in the repo market to $175B (from $150B) through mid-April, while the NBA announced it will suspend the season until further notice. Italy has also tightened its nationwide lockdown - after the nation's coronavirus death toll jumped 30% in 24 hours - ordering all non-essential shops and services to close (supermarkets and pharmacies will remain open).
 
chic said:
Update. Governor of MA. has declared a state of emergency as the number of cases more than doubled yesterday from 41 to 96. There's a confirmed case in my hometown.
I took some time off and took my octogenarian mom out to buy food and necessities. The stores are picked clean of toilet paper. Very little paper towels left. Food is doing okay so far as they are restocking very quickly at the present time. Water, milk, cereal, peanut butter are flying out fast as are fresh veggies and fruit.

If I suddenly go MIA you'll know why. If I go MIA permanently, you'll know that too.

Peace and be well. - Chic.
Click to expand...
Hope you and your mom can get everything you need somehow Chic. Stay safe and be well.
 
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...o-declares-state-emergency-New-York-City.html

Mayor Bill de Blasio has declared a state of emergency in the city of New York due the coronavirus outbreak.

He made the decision on Thursday afternoon and said the last 24 hours had been 'very, very sobering' and said the world had been turned 'upside down' in just a day.

There are now 95 confirmed cases in New York City, 45 more than yesterday. Twenty-two of the 95 people currently fighting the virus have been hospitalized.

The New York City breakdown is as follows; 25 in Manhattan, 24 Brooklyn, 17 in Queens, 10 in the Bronx and five in Staten Island.


There are 29 people in mandatory quarantine and 1,784 in mandatory quarantine.

The state of emergency allows de Blasio to now activate a range of extreme measures including a curfew, closing down public transport, prohibiting people from being on the streets, rationing and limiting alcohol use.

He has not implemented any of those measures, but the declaration of a state of emergency allows him to at any time.
 
We have another case in my hometown, and I'm hoping the road race scheduled for Sunday will be cancelled. It would be too irresponsible to hold it during such a National emergency. In fact, it would be crazy. We need to keep our distance from each other for awhile going forward.
 
Colbert had a show last night without an audience, only the staff sat in the audience seats. It was really weird.

This epidemic has a lot of repercussions we don't even think about. In Thailand there are hundreds of wild monkeys that were being fed by tourists. Now that the tourists are not visiting because of the virus, the poor monkeys are dying of starvation and fighting over any morsels. I bet the pigeons in Rome will also be dying of starvation, I'm sure the tourists feed them.

 
One of the N.J. doctors I had the pleasure to meet over two decades ago during my time as a Disease Intervention Specialist, has come down with the virus. I remember him being a nice man and was helpful with some of our cases. I hope he makes a full recovery.
 
A very important stat. Critical care beds per capita:

https://www.statista.com/chart/21105/number-of-critical-care-beds-per-100000-inhabitants/
21105.jpeg
 

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