The jobs report is better than it looks...http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/08/u...-in-the-jobs-report-.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0
Finally, today’s numbers are simply the first estimate made by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they will be revised as more information comes to light. For reasons that remain largely mysterious, these initial estimates have tended to be highly cyclical, underestimating job losses during the recession, and then systematically underestimating job gains during the recovery.
During the current economic recovery, the initial estimate of nonfarm payrolls has understated monthly employment growth by an average of 28,500 jobs.If this pattern continues, it is highly likely that the latest estimates will be revised upward. Indeed, the initial estimate for job growth in August has been revised from a disappointing 142,000 to 203,000, and the estimate for September has already been revised from 248,000 to 256,000.
The old saying is that the devil is in the details. Today’s report suggests just the opposite — dig into the details, and you’ll find a much sunnier story about the labor market. All told, I read today’s report as providing more evidence that the labor market recovery is gaining steam.