As I understand it, depreciation recapture comes into play if you take boot. If you do a 1031, it pushes forward until you *do* take boot. This is independent of rent, and is determined on acquisition as a combination of depreciation brought forward from previous properties and depreciable basis of the acquired property.
Is this correct?
If so, I'm not sure that this applies to tenants in any way.
What we have done for the last 30 years in an expanding rental market is to hold steady on rents until either:
1) units go vacant, at which time we seek ~85% of average market rate for the area (as determined by our property management company);
2) or a unit has been occupied for the average length of tenancy for that building as calculated over the last 5 years (this is on a spreadsheet). At that time we raise to 75% current average market rent. This, too, is on a spreadsheet.
But I can see your point about staying competitive in the investment market, now that the state has rent control. It's not possible to sell a pro forma projection of expected on increased rents under a new owner. They are bound moving forward by the controls, and if the property is significantly under-rented, it could take the new owners 2-3 years of max allowed rent raises to come to market rates.
But I don't think that I've ever encountered tenants who take a rent increase as a gentle reminder that it costs you, the landlord, more money to keep the place in top condition. This would mean that hey'd be appreciative of the increase, and that's just kidding yourself. They just don't think like that.
And yes, I am a nice guy... :^)