Michael becomes a Hurricane

Trade said:
Gulf of Mexico hurricanes seems to almost always exceed expectations.

It's that warm water that does it. They need to revise their models for Hurricanes that get into the Gulf.
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In the case of Florence they ended up evacuating many more people than were necessary because they over estimated the power of the storm by at least two categories. That's not necessarily a bad thing, better to be safe than sorry.

In the case of Michael it's just the opposite, it looks like a lot of people won't have enough time to either evacuate or take care of their property because they under estimated the power of the storm. I was surprised to see how fast Michael ramped up to a 4, almost overnight.
 

Trade said:
It's up to a 145 mph category 4.

This is going to be a bad one when it hits.

So far all we've had here in Mobile is some breezy weather and on and off light rain. It looks like we are going to dodge the bullet.

But it looks like the panhandle of Florida is in for a really bad hammering.
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This does really sound like a bad one, hope you do dodge the bullet. I heard someone on the news saying that they just loved the area and the hurricanes were just a part of life to them, like a snowstorm is to people in the northeast. I don't think I could live in an area that was threatened so severely like that. Wishing the best to all those who are in the danger zone. :(
 
Don M. said:
The Cold Front that may interact with this hurricane is pretty strong. It just passed us today, and we got heavy rains, and the temperatures over the next couple of days may give us our first Frost of the year. If/when these two systems collide, things could get pretty severe.....OR, this huge cold front may be strong enough to push the Hurricane quickly East and offshore. At any rate, anyone in its path would be well advised to avoid low lying/coastal areas.
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That cold front is saving our asses here in Mobile. Without it pushing the storm to the east we might have gotten a direct hit.

Looks like it's coming ashore around Mexico Beach in the Florida panhandle. That's about 150 miles as the crow flies east of us. I guess that's fortunate in that that area is relatively less developed due to the large tracts of land held by the St. Joe paper Company and the US Military.

This is a storm for the record books. It's making landfall as a 155 mph category 5.

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Looks like it's headed for my sister; she lives on a farm near Tifton GA. They have battened down the hatches and are dreading the tornado warnings.
 
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