Knight
Well-known Member
Bottom line there are many different situations.
I think that is a great statement.
Bottom line there are many different situations.
Keep in mind, that in investing, there is something called Mean ReversionI've had a utility fund for decades even though it's performance may not be as spectacular as other investments. I just invested in another one. I've read articles that tout utilities funds as good choices for bear (down) markets as they are considered "defensive investments". I've experienced the cushioning of the economic blow through bear markets. The advantages of ownership: Performance not necessarily correlated to market conditions, no matter what the economic environment is...people will need to use utilities. They pay usually healthy dividends and capital gains. Disadvantages: Rises in interest rates have negative impacts on these funds and according to the article below "Utility funds also face difficulty at times in passing along changes in energy prices efficiently to consumers and investors due to price regulations". I was wondering if anyone here has utility mutual funds or ETFs in his/her portfolio.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/mutualfund/08/utility-funds.asp
Thank you for this article CountryBoy.Keep in mind, that in investing, there is something called Mean Reversion
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/meanreversion.asp
no , i wont bother with utilities as a sector . never did
electricity and natural gas consumption is predictable — we know that growth will likely be proportional to population growth. Seeing as this country adds new people quite slowly — the population expands at about 0.7% to 1% per year —so growth is much less than your average S&P 500 component. a balanced portfolio has provided better growth , better holding up in a recession and better diversification than buying a sector investment in just utilities
In a low-yield climate like we have now, investors snap up utilities like they’re going out of style. Currently, the utility industry trades at a 20% premium to the S&P 500 on a price-to-earnings basis.
Historically, it traded at a 20% discount to the S&P 500. Should valuations revert to the mean, stock prices will have to drop by 33%.
====================================================================no , i wont bother with utilities as a sector . never did
electricity and natural gas consumption is predictable — we know that growth will likely be proportional to population growth. Seeing as this country adds new people quite slowly — the population expands at about 0.7% to 1% per year —so growth is much less than your average S&P 500 component. a balanced portfolio has provided better growth , better holding up in a recession and better diversification than buying a sector investment in just utilities
In a low-yield climate like we have now, investors snap up utilities like they’re going out of style. Currently, the utility industry trades at a 20% premium to the S&P 500 on a price-to-earnings basis.
Historically, it traded at a 20% discount to the S&P 500. Should valuations revert to the mean, stock prices will have to drop by 33%.
Everything is as compared to what ...looking at ppl as an example for taking on the risk of an individual company, the last 3 , 5, or 10 years gave you almost half of what the s&p 500 did and that includes dividends and that is with no individual company risk In the s&p ... in fact a 60/40 balanced fund blew the doors off ppl with less risk ......in the investing world just going up does not cut it , it is all about returns and risk taken====================================================================
"Historically, it traded at a 20% discount to the S&P 500. Should valuations revert to the mean, stock prices will have to drop by 33%."
With their dividend I do not think that will happen. I have owned individual utilities for over 40 years and as a rule there stock prices and dividends keep going up.
I guess this was my first foray into utilities too Gary! LOLI first invested in utilities
Pretty much a roll of the dice
View attachment 80039
The returns weren't near as good as railroads
View attachment 80041
Everything is as compared to what ...looking at ppl as an example for taking on the risk of an individual company, the last 3 , 5, or 10 years gave you almost half of what the s&p 500 did and that includes dividends and that is with no individual company risk In the s&p ... in fact a 60/40 balanced fund blew the doors off ppl with less risk ......in the investing world just going up does not cut it , it is all about returns and risk taken
Everything is as compared to what ...looking at ppl as an example for taking on the risk of an individual company, the last 3 , 5, or 10 years gave you almost half of what the s&p 500 did and that includes dividends and that is with no individual company risk In the s&p ... in fact a 60/40 balanced fund blew the doors off ppl with less risk ......in the investing world just going up does not cut it , it is all about returns and risk taken
=======================================================================
PPL ..one stock and I do not or have ever owned PPL.
We own many utilities stock and it is about returns and risks.. that is why we have about 50% of our three portfolios in utilities.
It seems you have a problem with utilities, fine do not invest in them.
down turns are always part of the cycle . we just don't know when … no one sees them coming because what triggers them is not things on the radar .Got a good friend in New York who told me yesterday 'I'm afraid to look at my portfolio".
Gotta give it to my hub though...that pro poker player side came out in him when last month he said "you know,
if I was in that @#$% market, I'd sell everything out NOW! He said...how could you not see this coming.
Well, hub saw it clearly . He'd have had a lot of bucks to invest back in...loldown turns are always part of the cycle . we just don't know when … no one sees them coming because what triggers them is not things on the radar .
once they appear these daily negatives are written off as just noise - that is until they are not .
then machine selling today drives us down in days what used to take months
Long term no one ever lost a penny in any 10 or 20 year period with a 50/50 mix ...on the other hand many lost money via inflation hiding out in a bankWell, hub saw it clearly . He'd have had a lot of bucks to invest back in...lol
He likes pro poker. Way less variables and more skill I guess ...lol.
Hey, its only money. Don't ever play with what you can't afford to lose anyway.
That's your story...lol. Know a lot of folks that have lost a lot of money in the market and a lot that didn't have 10 or 20 years to recoup. To each his own. Also know quite a few that have made lots of money in other enterprises rather than the market. Those sectors been very very good to them. They are living well and enjoying their elder years. Can only wish that for everyone, no matter what mode of investment choices they choose to make (or not). You can't take it with you, so enjoy it while you are here on planet earth.Long term no one ever lost a penny in any 10 or 20 year period with a 50/50 mix ...on the other hand many lost money via inflation hiding out in a bank
Guess if you don't have to wait 10 years to get back the money you thought you did have then you are doing fine as frog's hair...lol.IMO the big difference is in people who play the markets and people that invest in the markets.
When I was young I had my share of losses playing hot tips and sure things in the financial markets.
Now I invest in boring balanced mutual funds that grow steadily over time with very little blood sweat and tears.
I don't have any big wins but I also don't have any big losses, it works for me.
Bad investor behavior loses money ...markets and diversified funds have only gone higher long term so you can’t blame markets ...people panic , people use long term investments for short term needsThat's your story...lol. Know a lot of folks that have lost a lot of money in the market and a lot that didn't have 10 or 20 years to recoup. To each his own. Also know quite a few that have made lots of money in other enterprises rather than the market. Those sectors been very very good to them. They are living well and enjoying their elder years. Can only wish that for everyone, no matter what mode of investment choices they choose to make (or not). You can't take it with you, so enjoy it while you are here on planet earth.
I own a utility ETF as well as shares in Southern Company, Dominion and Wisconsin Electric. We have been very happy with performance, even in the current selloff.I've had a utility fund for decades even though it's performance may not be as spectacular as other investments. I just invested in another one. I've read articles that tout utilities funds as good choices for bear (down) markets as they are considered "defensive investments". I've experienced the cushioning of the economic blow through bear markets. The advantages of ownership: Performance not necessarily correlated to market conditions, no matter what the economic environment is...people will need to use utilities. They pay usually healthy dividends and capital gains. Disadvantages: Rises in interest rates have negative impacts on these funds and according to the article below "Utility funds also face difficulty at times in passing along changes in energy prices efficiently to consumers and investors due to price regulations". I was wondering if anyone here has utility mutual funds or ETFs in his/her portfolio.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/mutualfund/08/utility-funds.asp