Covid Predictions - How good are the experts?

[win231]

In mid-January 2020 Dr Fauci said Americans had nothing to fear from the Corona virus. Shortly after he advised against wearing a face mask saying that would only give people a false sense of security. He now says that he only advised against wearing a mask because PPE was in short supply at that time BUT that's not what he said at the time. Hindsight is always nice. He's a smart doctor, but he has been too eager to be on TV since the beginning of this pandemic. He would be a better fit on the Chicago Med TV series IMO.

Re: Masks. Yes, Fauci proved that he's willing to lie & deceive, then try to justify it. He knows how fear interferes with people's logic.

 

[Brookswood]

I don't want to wander to far off topic which is the difference in all of the predictions made by experts. What else is new?

FWIW, I have caught one of them waffling again on his prediction.

 

[chic]

Epidemiologists, virologists, communicable disease specialists: Weed out the ones with political or financial interests and seriously consider the opinions of the rest.

Medical doctors: Not so much. Their training in this area is usually extremely limited but there may be a few with worthwhile input.

Head of the Department of <something that sounds relevant> at Such and Such University: Check out their credentials, but probably not particularly knowledgable.

Politicians and bureaucrats: "I have this piece of swamp land that is REALLY valuable. You should buy it. Trust me!!"

The "news" (TV, print, internet): Really? You have to be kidding!

Entertainers (actors, singers, athletes, media personalities):

Problem is these experts all have financial interests in this.

 

[chic]

In mid-January 2020 Dr Fauci said Americans had nothing to fear from the Corona virus. Shortly after he advised against wearing a face mask saying that would only give people a false sense of security. He now says that he only advised against wearing a mask because PPE was in short supply at that time BUT that's not what he said at the time. Hindsight is always nice. He's a smart doctor, but he has been too eager to be on TV since the beginning of this pandemic. He would be a better fit on the Chicago Med TV series IMO.

He lied from the start saying we had nothing to fear in the U.S. then saying we'd stay in for 4 weeks. Yeah, right. Over a year later... there are still people listening to him and hanging on his every word.

 

[digifoss]

He lied from the start saying we had nothing to fear in the U.S. then saying we'd stay in for 4 weeks. Yeah, right. Over a year later... there are still people listening to him and hanging on his every word.

Yea he said we just needed to wear the mask and stay inside for a few weeks to flatten the curve and here we are a year later. Their scapegoat is long-gone and nothing is getting any better even yet. I have serious allergy reactions and am not even going to consider taking any of the current vaccines for my own health concerns, yet their plan seems to be to force everyone to get the vaccine, not by making it mandatory, but with different coercion methods. In my age and health group my chances of surviving covid are 98% so I am not going to over-worry myself. If it gets to where we can't buy groceries without showing our covid id card I guess Ill be forced, or coerced into re-considering.

 

[ProTruckDriver]

If it gets to where we can't buy groceries without showing our covid id card I guess Ill be forced, or coerced into re-considering.

If they try that I believe riots will break out all over the USA. These riots we have now will look like a Sunday School Picnic if they ban unvaccinated to shop at grocery stores.

 

[Brookswood]

One expert is back tracking a bit every week. Sad for him, I have used my computer to make a mental note of his prediction and the day he made it.

 

[chic]

Yea he said we just needed to wear the mask and stay inside for a few weeks to flatten the curve and here we are a year later. Their scapegoat is long-gone and nothing is getting any better even yet. I have serious allergy reactions and am not even going to consider taking any of the current vaccines for my own health concerns, yet their plan seems to be to force everyone to get the vaccine, not by making it mandatory, but with different coercion methods. In my age and health group my chances of surviving covid are 98% so I am not going to over-worry myself. If it gets to where we can't buy groceries without showing our covid id card I guess Ill be forced, or coerced into re-considering.

You can always order groceries online and go pick them up. A shopper in the store will pick them out and deliver them to your car so there is no need to take the vaccine if you don't want to just for groceries.

South Carolina and Rhode Island are currently working to pass legislation to prevent this kind of discrimination against the unvaccinated. I wish all 50 states would do the same.

 

[Keesha]

Not a clue how good the Covid predictions are. I do however know that Ontario has 3,813 new cases today. The number is increasing rapidly.
Ford has issued vaccines for the 50 plus group first and others later. Peel Region is one of the most hit as well as the GTA in our province.

https://www.google.ca/amp/s/www.cbc.ca/amp/1.5979774

 

[Dana]

Since this this corona virus problem started, there have been many experts making predictions about what will happen next. The ones I have listed to are those with usually more than one solid credential - advanced degrees, working in the medical field, researchers, well regarded by peers, etc.

As of today, I am tracking four predictions:

#1 - We will hit herd immunity by April of this year. Yea!

#2 - We will have a good Spring and Summer. One or more of the variances may cause outbreaks here and there in the USA. The Covid variances might cause new problems in late Fall and Winter as people crowd together indoors more, if one or more of these variances is very vigorous and can outwit the vaccine.

#3 - Things are already starting to turn down now (end of March 2021) and if we don't tighten up restrictions for a few more months until we have many more people vaccinated, Summer and beyond could see another big surge of the virus.

#4 - We are going to be hit by a Covid Hurricane in April. We are only 4-6 weeks behind Europe. It's coming. It will be worse than the other peaks, and we can't stop it.

The above are all predictions I have heard in this month of March. It will be interesting to see who is the most accurate.

You are making very little sense... predictions are very rarely accurate. The scientists are not God Almighty... they are doing their best. It is extremely naive to hold any one to a prediction when the virus...like all viruses... have a will and life of its own.

Question from me to you: Have you ever studied the life cycle of a virus? Might be an interesting occupation for you.
.

 

[Keesha]

You can always order groceries online and go pick them up. A shopper in the store will pick them out and deliver them to your car so there is no need to take the vaccine if you don't want to just for groceries.

South Carolina and Rhode Island are currently working to pass legislation to prevent this kind of discrimination against the unvaccinated. I wish all 50 states would do the same.

We have curb side pick up for those who don’t wish to go into stores for whatever reason.
We have just had another major lock down so we can only purchase food and essentials. Many people are vaccinated in our area but the vaccination doesn’t stop you from getting the virus or from spreading the virus. It only reduces the symptoms.

 

[Jeweltea]

But you didn't set a date to end your experiment. The way you have it written, one could be right on June 1st, a different one on July 1st, etc.