VaughanJB
Scrappy VIP
The current abiogenesis theory, is still pretty much, "We don't know, but we think it only happened once." It doesn't rule out panspermia, which just like the current theory, doesn't explain how it happened the first time. And panspermia has never been universally ruled out. It's just one more possible event in a much more important process that everyone would like to understand. To me, where it happened is interesting, but a minor part of a bigger question.
I'd sit in the panspermia room. As far as we know, there was nothing special or unique about the creation of the Earth. Meaning, we literally have, by current estimates, 100 sextillion planets that have formed in the universe (with trillions of them being habitable). I can't wrap my head around the idea that similar processes that brought us into existence didn't also occur elsewhere.
The Earth is roughly 4.5bn years old, and the oldest planet we currently know about is around 12.7bn years old. The oldest fossil we have is around 3.5bn years old, which means our rock in space was a billion years old before all the madness started. Simple math tells me it is far more likely life first started elsewhere.
We like to think we're advanced these days, but on a cosmic scale we're still living in caves. We have found the building blocks of life on an asteroid, but it's not like we've had an awful lot of asteroids to examine. We do know that in the distant past, Earth was blitzed by hits as our Solar System sorted the wheat from the chaff. I therefore think it's highly likely those events helped bring about the conditions that allowed life to evolve.