grahamg
Old codger
- Location
- South of Manchester, UK
That's as much as I can say I admit too!
Confirmation bias... I didn't know it was this complicated !
- Thread starter grahamg
- Start date
fmdog44
Well-known Member
- Location
- Houston, Texas
95% of people have already made up their minds and roughly the same percentage listen to more than 15% of what is said.
grahamg
Old codger
- Location
- South of Manchester, UK
Did you mean "listen to less than 15%"?
grahamg
Old codger
- Location
- South of Manchester, UK
Rereading the four card trick or question I think I was taken in and likely to turn over card three, not realisng the flaw in my logic or my failure to understand the assertion was not that all red cards "only" had even numbers on the other side, (back to the "all or some" arguments of my other recent thread perhaps?).
I'm still pondering too, whether turning over any of the three other cards would be absolutely bound to prove the question posed by Wason?
I can see turning over a brown card might provide an answer if an even number were on the other side, but if its odd it doesn't prove other brown cards don't have even numbers on them does it. Again if you turn over the three card, and its red on the other side...oh wait a minute, that isn't answering the question posed at all is it!
Darn it, I've obviously got little or no logic in my tiny brain.
I'm still pondering too, whether turning over any of the three other cards would be absolutely bound to prove the question posed by Wason?
I can see turning over a brown card might provide an answer if an even number were on the other side, but if its odd it doesn't prove other brown cards don't have even numbers on them does it. Again if you turn over the three card, and its red on the other side...oh wait a minute, that isn't answering the question posed at all is it!
Darn it, I've obviously got little or no logic in my tiny brain.
Yes, this is true. It's surprising really that so many of us have fixed opinions. I know we are not supposed to discuss politics, but politicians must wonder how they can change the minds of those voters who do not support them. I can certainly understand the viewpoint of those who think differently from me, but I feel that my opinions are the right ones (as do we all).
grahamg
Old codger
- Location
- South of Manchester, UK
Would it be fair to suggest your post could be described as "Coming out of left field?"
grahamg
Old codger
- Location
- South of Manchester, UK
I'm not thinking about politics on this thread, but as we all seem to agree, the extent each one of us may be guilty of relying upon "confirmation bias", in whatever aspect of our lives!
Having said that, I'd like to believe there are some instincts each of us are maybe born with, and the one springing to my mind is our desire not to allow our own children being mislead or taken advantage of by anyone, whether we can always prevent this or not(?).
The last thing to say, is that although the assertion "you're guilty of confirmation bias" is bandied about quite a lot, maybe with some justification sometimes, but the link provided in the OP, (or second post was it?), does suggest in the last twenty years or so, assigning all kinds of opinions as being due to confirmation bias has become less prevalent, or people have moved away from it for the reasons given.
.