Kentucky Derby this Saturday

I know virtually nothing about this sport. If I'd go by names alone and not odds, I kind of like Incredibolt.

I *do* pay attention enough every year to see what Dannielynn is wearing and how she's grown. And I saw her pic with Larry today and it is uncanny how much she looks like her mother now.
 

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I think I'll pick So Happy because I know Mike Smith is a winning jockey. I don't really trust Bob Baffert's stables these days.

I really like to see the horses first, but I've learned that I can watch the entire two hour pre-race show and only see stories about the owners.

I don't gamble, but I write my pick on a post-it before the race so I can brag to the family later if my horse wins. I have a pretty good record.
 
Okay, I poked around a little more and I'm sticking with Incredibolt because I've always had a soft spot for underdogs. I even asked AI about it and got this:
  • He’s not a top favorite, but not a hopeless outsider either.
  • Think of him as a “value longshot”—unlikely, but plausible if things break perfectly.
 
In 2009, the Canadian owned entry Mine That Bird, won the Derby, at 50 to 1 odds. Paying $102.00 on a $2 bet. The most famous Canadian bred winner of the Derby was Northern Dancer, owned by Winfield Farms of Toronto. That was in I believe, 1964. JIMB>
 
I usually bet on the top 2 contenders and 1 dark horse. My dark horse this year will be Litmus Test, the #4 horse.
Right now, he’s 50-1. Yep, a long shot, but I like the Jockey, Martin Garcia, who is a winner and Bob Baffert trained the horse.
 
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I am going with Commandment also.
I would have picked Emerging Market for a winning placement but his post position will make him
burn his speed out I think. If he'd placed 7-10th post position I may have felt better.
 
How many people here put a little money on this?

The only time I did was at events in Vegas. It made it more fun. It wasn’t much and I lost it.
 
No money on it from me just seeing how far I have fallen from choosing a winning rider and horse.
Rather be there taking photos than in a betting line.
 
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