Michael becomes a Hurricane

Trade

Well-known Member
I've been watching this one for a while. Two days ago the forecast was for it to make landfall as a 60 mph tropical storm. Since then the intensity forecast has increased with every update. Now it's forecasted to make landfall as a 120 mph major Hurricane.

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Just watched the forecast, it is tracking for the Florida panhandle. We will likely get some weather here as it goes up through the gulf.
 
These storms are part of the "joy" of living in a low lying coastal region. If a person chooses to live in such an area, the Only thing they can do is to have an Escape, or Survival plan, and keep a close eye on the weather forecasts. There is probably No place that is totally safe from major storms, but if a person is prepared for the worst, they will usually stand a far better chance than most.
 
I try to stay ready as much as I can. I keep water and non perishables on hand anyway. As long as I have peanut butter, crackers and tuna, I can make it!!If we are asked to leave, we will. The only problem is that my daughter is a pharmacist for CVS and they will only close at the very latest time so we will be the last to leave.

I understand people wanting their meds but really folks. This is Houston. When a storm pops up or enters the Gulf, its time to check your meds, food and water and take care of business. But no, there is a rush on everything. The pharmacist cannot get new scripts as the clinics are closing early due to the storm and cannot fill meds without a script. Then its the pharmacists fault and you cannot believe the abuse they receive. I don't have much sympathy for people that are able to get ready and wait until the last minute to do so.
 
These storms are part of the "joy" of living in a low lying coastal region. If a person chooses to live in such an area, the Only thing they can do is to have an Escape, or Survival plan, and keep a close eye on the weather forecasts. There is probably No place that is totally safe from major storms, but if a person is prepared for the worst, they will usually stand a far better chance than most.
We plan for the worst and hope for the best.
 
Hoping everyone who's threatened by Michael stays safe and secure. I'm lucky to have never been a victim of a hurricane, earthquake, tornado, flood or wildfire. My heart goes out to all who have their lives turned upside down by these disasters. :( Thinking of Pappy, if I'm not mistaken he's on his way or in Florida now for his winter home.
 
I hope we are just going to get a day of heavy rain in NC.
I hope Florida, you are spared a slow moving storm when it makes landfall.
This one snuck up. I didn't even know about it until yesterday.
 
It's carrying allot of rain, and the track has it going right through the Carolina's . That's the last thing those folks need...Not to mention the typical wind/storm surge that will threaten Florida/others.......best wishes to all in the path.
 
Well, we could get a little of it here in northeastern Florida aka Jacksonville, UNLESS the thing tracks more to the east. Then, "all bets are off" as to what we will get. Most people here aren't really that worried about this one.

Bottom Line (for us (wife and I)……..we are SO looking forward, very hopefully, of leaving Florida next May and heading back to Colorado. Yes, we know about the cold and snow, but, to a point, would rather have that than this darn humidity, hurricanes and tropical storms. When retired, don't have to go out into a snowstorm or blizzard conditions anyway.
 
I lived in Colorado CR and it was beautiful.
Still when we flew back east I loved seeing all the green out the window. The down side was it felt claustrophobic after the open spaces of the west.
 
It's now a 120 mph category 3 storm. The forecast has it making landfall tomorrow on the Florida Panhandle at 125 mph. But I'm still nervously watching it here in Mobile. That forecast is dependent on an approaching cold front causing it to turn east before making landfall. If it stays on it's current course and that eastward turn doesn't pan out we could get a direct hit here.

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The Cold Front that may interact with this hurricane is pretty strong. It just passed us today, and we got heavy rains, and the temperatures over the next couple of days may give us our first Frost of the year. If/when these two systems collide, things could get pretty severe.....OR, this huge cold front may be strong enough to push the Hurricane quickly East and offshore. At any rate, anyone in its path would be well advised to avoid low lying/coastal areas.
 
With all of the technology they have to predict these storms nowadays, they have been way off on the strength of the last two hurricanes to hit the southeast US. They predicted Florence would hit NC at a minimum Cat 4, maybe even a Cat 5, but it hit as a Cat 1 or 2. This hurricane Michael was predicted to be no more than a Cat 1 when it hit land and it's soared up to a Cat 4 now.
 
I lived in Colorado CR and it was beautiful.
Still when we flew back east I loved seeing all the green out the window. The down side was it felt claustrophobic after the open spaces of the west.

Many will say how beautiful it is for a vacation, but many would not live there year-around. However, I worked for a Healthcare Company in Denver for 4 1/2 years and there sure were a lot of Seniors that used our services.

Heck, wife and I still have our winter parkas, gloves and boots that we bought and wore there. Almost 10 years living here in northeastern Florida and those clothes are still in our closet and still fit us. Guess, some how, some way, we kind of knew we'd return to Colorado.
 
It's up to a 145 mph category 4.

This is going to be a bad one when it hits.

So far all we've had here in Mobile is some breezy weather and on and off light rain. It looks like we are going to dodge the bullet.


But it looks like the panhandle of Florida is in for a really bad hammering.

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With all of the technology they have to predict these storms nowadays, they have been way off on the strength of the last two hurricanes to hit the southeast US. They predicted Florence would hit NC at a minimum Cat 4, maybe even a Cat 5, but it hit as a Cat 1 or 2. This hurricane Michael was predicted to be no more than a Cat 1 when it hit land and it's soared up to a Cat 4 now.

Gulf of Mexico hurricanes seems to almost always exceed expectations.

It's that warm water that does it. They need to revise their models for Hurricanes that get into the Gulf.
 


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