Lethe200
Senior Member
- Location
- San Francisco Bay Area
Week 3: Sunday’s Other Games (Pt 2 of 2, due to length)
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Steelers
The Texans (0-2) opened the season with games against the NFL’s two best teams (KC and Baltimore), and did an excellent job of not standing in either team’s way. The run defense is awful, with an average of 198 yards allowed per game. Pittsburgh loves to focus on the run and will be happy to let RB James Conner carry them to a win at home. Pittsburgh’s stellar defense is likely smarting after allowing a combined 37 points against weak competition in the Giants and Broncos, and they should be amped up for a challenge from Houston’s Deshaun Watson.
Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Vikings
The Titans (2-0) put most of their energy into preserving the team’s offense this off-season and that is showing up in the results so far, with QB Ryan Tannehill (six passing TDs, no interceptions) and RB Derrick Henry (200 yards rushing) doing their thing. But the team’s defense keeps things so close that both games have come down to a last-minute field goal by Stephen Gostkowski. Their offense should meet very little resistance from the woeful defense of the Vikings (0-2), but if Tennessee can barely slow down Denver or Jacksonville, it could be in for a world of hurt against Kirk Cousins and Minnesota.
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 p.m., Fox | Pick: Cardinals
Any football game can go sideways, so this should be taken with a fairly large grain of salt: but the path to a 5-0 start seems to be cleared for the Cardinals (2-0), who are red-hot and have their next three games against the Lions (0-2), the Panthers (0-2) and the Jets (0-2). Things get decidedly more difficult beyond that, with Dallas and Seattle ahead of Arizona’s Wk 8 bye, but so far Arizona seems like a team that can beat up on the league’s lesser teams at the very least.
SF 49ers at Giants, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: 49ers
The 49ers (1-1) will be without their entire first-string backfield and are down to their third-string QB Nick Mullens. They’ve lost Nick Bosa and Dee Ford on the pass rush, as well as CB Richard Sherman AND his back-up Solomon Thomas. Yet they’re favored by 4.5 points on the road. The Giants (0-2) stink.
Carolina Panthers at LA Chargers, 4:05 p.m., CBS | Pick: Panthers
Rookie Justin Herbert turned in a phenomenal performance during an OT loss to KC last Wk. Herbert was just the third QB to ever have 300-plus passing yards and a rushing TD in his first NFL game (Otto Graham and Cam Newton are the others). If he follows that with a win over the Christian McCaffrey-less Panthers (0-2), injured Tyrod Taylor may find it hard to unseat him from the starting QB job.
TBay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m., Fox | Pick: Buccaneers
When Tom Brady chose the Buccaneers (1-1) it was likely based on the team’s terrific defense and its depth at WR. Having RB Leonard Fournette fall into the team’s lap was icing on the cake. Things seemed to be running at full speed in a Wk 2 win over Carolina. The Panthers weren’t the toughest competition, but neither are the Broncos (0-2) - especially with QB Drew Lock and wide receiver Courtland Sutton both out. At this point, getting Fournette into a rhythm and developing chemistry between Brady and his receivers is an important step for when TBay does face someone good.
Jets at Indianapolis Colts, 4:05 p.m., CBS | Pick: Jets
Even as 49ers players dropped like flies last week, the Jets (0-2) never made things close. They were playing against backups, and backups to backups, and got blown out. Now the team faces the Colts (1-1), who shook off an opening week letdown against Jacksonville by looking strong on both sides of the ball last Wk.
The Jets were leaving open running lanes last week, so a huge day from Jonathan Taylor, the Colts’ rookie RB, may be in order. There’s no reason to expect a Jets victory, but banking on Indianapolis to keep its foot on the gas long enough to justify a double-digit point spread is unrealistic.
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: Falcons
The Falcons (0-2) came into the season believing some additions to the team’s offense could put them back on the playoff map. Through two weeks, their defense has allowed 953 total yards and 78 points, so even if they found a way to sneak the Ravens offense onto the field they’d still be in trouble. Now Atlanta faces an interesting challenge in the Bears (2-0) who have a little momentum to start their season (with the extremely large caveat that their wins came against the Lions and the Giants).
Matt Ryan has enough options at his disposal that he absolutely should be able to out-duel Mitchell Trubisky at home. But this game is a tossup based on Atlanta’s defense and the psychological impact of last week’s collapse against Dallas.
Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Bengals
He may not have a win yet, but Joe Burrow of the Bengals (0-2) is impressing a lot of people. The top pick in this year’s draft had an exciting TD run in Wk 1 and threw for 316 yards and three TDs in Wk 2. Wk 3 against the Eagles (0-2) seems like an excellent opportunity for him to get his first career win, though his chances swing heavily on the health of Philadelphia’s offensive line.
Washington Football Team at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: Washington
The Footballers (1-1) crashed to Earth a bit in Wk 2, though there’s no shame in losing to the Cardinals. If there’s a glimmer of hope in a road game where they’re a sizable underdog, it’s that the Browns (1-1) have allowed 64 points through two games, which could give this game shootout, rather than blowout, potential. Cleveland is a much more talented team, but if they’re going to let Cincinnati play them close, there’s reason to believe they’ll do the same with Washington.
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Steelers
The Texans (0-2) opened the season with games against the NFL’s two best teams (KC and Baltimore), and did an excellent job of not standing in either team’s way. The run defense is awful, with an average of 198 yards allowed per game. Pittsburgh loves to focus on the run and will be happy to let RB James Conner carry them to a win at home. Pittsburgh’s stellar defense is likely smarting after allowing a combined 37 points against weak competition in the Giants and Broncos, and they should be amped up for a challenge from Houston’s Deshaun Watson.
Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Vikings
The Titans (2-0) put most of their energy into preserving the team’s offense this off-season and that is showing up in the results so far, with QB Ryan Tannehill (six passing TDs, no interceptions) and RB Derrick Henry (200 yards rushing) doing their thing. But the team’s defense keeps things so close that both games have come down to a last-minute field goal by Stephen Gostkowski. Their offense should meet very little resistance from the woeful defense of the Vikings (0-2), but if Tennessee can barely slow down Denver or Jacksonville, it could be in for a world of hurt against Kirk Cousins and Minnesota.
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 p.m., Fox | Pick: Cardinals
Any football game can go sideways, so this should be taken with a fairly large grain of salt: but the path to a 5-0 start seems to be cleared for the Cardinals (2-0), who are red-hot and have their next three games against the Lions (0-2), the Panthers (0-2) and the Jets (0-2). Things get decidedly more difficult beyond that, with Dallas and Seattle ahead of Arizona’s Wk 8 bye, but so far Arizona seems like a team that can beat up on the league’s lesser teams at the very least.
SF 49ers at Giants, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: 49ers
The 49ers (1-1) will be without their entire first-string backfield and are down to their third-string QB Nick Mullens. They’ve lost Nick Bosa and Dee Ford on the pass rush, as well as CB Richard Sherman AND his back-up Solomon Thomas. Yet they’re favored by 4.5 points on the road. The Giants (0-2) stink.
Carolina Panthers at LA Chargers, 4:05 p.m., CBS | Pick: Panthers
Rookie Justin Herbert turned in a phenomenal performance during an OT loss to KC last Wk. Herbert was just the third QB to ever have 300-plus passing yards and a rushing TD in his first NFL game (Otto Graham and Cam Newton are the others). If he follows that with a win over the Christian McCaffrey-less Panthers (0-2), injured Tyrod Taylor may find it hard to unseat him from the starting QB job.
TBay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m., Fox | Pick: Buccaneers
When Tom Brady chose the Buccaneers (1-1) it was likely based on the team’s terrific defense and its depth at WR. Having RB Leonard Fournette fall into the team’s lap was icing on the cake. Things seemed to be running at full speed in a Wk 2 win over Carolina. The Panthers weren’t the toughest competition, but neither are the Broncos (0-2) - especially with QB Drew Lock and wide receiver Courtland Sutton both out. At this point, getting Fournette into a rhythm and developing chemistry between Brady and his receivers is an important step for when TBay does face someone good.
Jets at Indianapolis Colts, 4:05 p.m., CBS | Pick: Jets
Even as 49ers players dropped like flies last week, the Jets (0-2) never made things close. They were playing against backups, and backups to backups, and got blown out. Now the team faces the Colts (1-1), who shook off an opening week letdown against Jacksonville by looking strong on both sides of the ball last Wk.
The Jets were leaving open running lanes last week, so a huge day from Jonathan Taylor, the Colts’ rookie RB, may be in order. There’s no reason to expect a Jets victory, but banking on Indianapolis to keep its foot on the gas long enough to justify a double-digit point spread is unrealistic.
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: Falcons
The Falcons (0-2) came into the season believing some additions to the team’s offense could put them back on the playoff map. Through two weeks, their defense has allowed 953 total yards and 78 points, so even if they found a way to sneak the Ravens offense onto the field they’d still be in trouble. Now Atlanta faces an interesting challenge in the Bears (2-0) who have a little momentum to start their season (with the extremely large caveat that their wins came against the Lions and the Giants).
Matt Ryan has enough options at his disposal that he absolutely should be able to out-duel Mitchell Trubisky at home. But this game is a tossup based on Atlanta’s defense and the psychological impact of last week’s collapse against Dallas.
Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m., CBS | Pick: Bengals
He may not have a win yet, but Joe Burrow of the Bengals (0-2) is impressing a lot of people. The top pick in this year’s draft had an exciting TD run in Wk 1 and threw for 316 yards and three TDs in Wk 2. Wk 3 against the Eagles (0-2) seems like an excellent opportunity for him to get his first career win, though his chances swing heavily on the health of Philadelphia’s offensive line.
Washington Football Team at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m., Fox | Pick: Washington
The Footballers (1-1) crashed to Earth a bit in Wk 2, though there’s no shame in losing to the Cardinals. If there’s a glimmer of hope in a road game where they’re a sizable underdog, it’s that the Browns (1-1) have allowed 64 points through two games, which could give this game shootout, rather than blowout, potential. Cleveland is a much more talented team, but if they’re going to let Cincinnati play them close, there’s reason to believe they’ll do the same with Washington.