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Who will be your NFL team’s MVP in 2022? The Athletic’s writers make 32 picks
The Athletic NFL Staff Jul 20, 2022, Pt 2 of 3
Detroit Lions
D’Andre Swift. The Lions will gain national attention in training camp with the arrival of “Hard Knocks” — and that could be a springboard for the rest of the country to find out about Detroit’s best playmaker. It’d be foolish to suggest Swift’s talent is an unknown commodity in the league, but inconsistency (and durability) has plagued him a bit. Swift paired 617 rushing yds and five TDs with 62 catches for 452 yds and two more scores last year. After Swift’s up-and-down rookie season sprinkled with injuries, Detroit brought in Jamaal Williams ahead of 2021 and did a nice job of managing Swift’s workload early. He still wore down, though, playing in parts of 12 games — with just 16 combined snaps in his final three outings. Swift arrived for OTAs in the best shape of his life and is clearly looking to prove a point/make a case for a contract. If this OL stays healthy, Swift could do both those things in 2022.
GBay Packers
Call this a cop out, but I think it’s wise to think the Packers’ team MVP will be the guy who’s been the league MVP in each of the last two seasons. Aaron Rodgers can make an average receiving corps look great, and I think that’s what he’ll do this season. There have been no signs of his play declining, and I have a hunch he’ll want to prove he can still play at an elite level without his top two receivers from last season.
Houston Texans
After signing a contract extension this offseason that keeps him tied to the team through 2024, Brandin Cooks returns to once again be perhaps the Texans’ only above-average skill position player. Last season, he recorded his sixth 1,000-yard season with his fifth different QB, functioning as a safety blanket for then-rookie Davis Mills while averaging a career-worst 7.7 yds per target — a sign the Texans had little choice but to force-feed him. Though the team hopes to see improvement from second-year receiver Nico Collins and its last-ranked rushing attack, Cooks should occupy a similar role in 2022.
Indianapolis Colts
The strange thing about this Colts offseason is how little the conversation has been about Jonathan Taylor. All he did last year was lead the league in rushing by over 500 yds, and darn near carry the Colts to the playoffs by himself. But with big-name additions at QB, pass rusher and CB, Taylor’s been a bit of an afterthought. That won’t be the case when the Colts hit the field again. The third-year RB is primed to build off his record-setting 2021 season, and once again will be among the most formidable offensive weapons in the league. With Matt Ryan under center, defenses won’t be able to key in on Taylor as much as they did late last season. Look out. Twenty-eight’s back for more.
Jacksonville Jaguars
If you draft a QB No. 1 overall, you need him to be your best player and an obvious team MVP, and Trevor Lawrence should be that in his second NFL season. After only 12 TD passes his rookie year, he could double that easily in 2022, thanks to new receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and TE Evan Engram. If there’s a dark horse to trump him, it could be second-year back Travis Etienne, who missed last year with injury but could be heavily involved in the running and passing game. The safe bet is Lawrence, who had just two multi-TD games last year after totaling 28 at Clemson.
KC Chiefs
The Chiefs are in the midst of rebuilding their roster around Patrick Mahomes, who is entering the second phase of his career. Mahomes, though, is still the NFL’s most talented QB, an accurate gunslinger who can create magic from adverse situations. If Mahomes guides the Chiefs through another strong regular season — while being presented a brutal, historically difficult schedule — he will be the team’s expected MVP. And if Mahomes is excellent without Tyreek Hill and a new revamped group of receivers, he could be the league’s MVP once again.
LVegas Raiders
If it’s not Derek Carr, then something went really wrong. The Raiders traded for Davante Adams, Carr’s old college teammate and arguably the best receiver in the game, and gave a big extension to slot receiver Hunter Renfrow. They also still have Darren Waller, one of the top five TEs in the NFL, as well as a talented RB corps that now includes rookie Zamir White. The OL is a question mark but new coach Josh McDaniels isn’t terribly worried about it as Carr will be getting rid of the ball quickly. Carr was fourth in the league’s MVP voting in 2016 and this group is more talented than that one. Carr is better as well, as he started taking more shots downfield and can extend plays with his feet now.
LA Chargers
This one is obvious. The Chargers’ MVP — and possibly the league’s MVP, too — will be QB Justin Herbert. He was the team’s MVP last season, throwing for over 5,000 yds and 38 TDs while cementing himself as one of the best QBs in football. Herbert will be in the same offensive system this year, surrounded by largely the same coaches and personnel, and that continuity should lead to even more improvement from the superstar. Yes, Herbert is going to be even better in 2022. The next step for Herbert is leading the Chargers to the postseason.
LA Rams
It would be tempting to predict a huge year for QB Matthew Stafford, in his second season with head coach Sean McVay and an arsenal of receivers. But I have to go with reigning Offensive Player of the Year Cooper Kupp here, after he won the historic triple crown in 2021. Kupp has stayed healthy into the offseason, unlike in previous years, and hopes to build off what he accomplished last season; plus, the Rams will play him all over the field as they did last season, which increases his impact.
Miami Dolphins
Tyreek Hill. If you’re a Dolphins fan, you’re rooting for Tua Tagovailoa to take such a step forward that he’s the obvious choice after a breakout third NFL season, but it’s more likely that he improves as a function of the upgraded talent around him. That starts with Hill, who drew a steep price to acquire from the Chiefs, but should give the Dolphins their first player with 10 TD catches in a season since Mike Wallace in 2014. Last time someone had more than 10? Chris Chambers, with 11 in 2005. The team record is probably safe — Mark Clayton had 18 in Dan Marino’s monster 1984 season.
The Athletic NFL Staff Jul 20, 2022, Pt 2 of 3
Detroit Lions
D’Andre Swift. The Lions will gain national attention in training camp with the arrival of “Hard Knocks” — and that could be a springboard for the rest of the country to find out about Detroit’s best playmaker. It’d be foolish to suggest Swift’s talent is an unknown commodity in the league, but inconsistency (and durability) has plagued him a bit. Swift paired 617 rushing yds and five TDs with 62 catches for 452 yds and two more scores last year. After Swift’s up-and-down rookie season sprinkled with injuries, Detroit brought in Jamaal Williams ahead of 2021 and did a nice job of managing Swift’s workload early. He still wore down, though, playing in parts of 12 games — with just 16 combined snaps in his final three outings. Swift arrived for OTAs in the best shape of his life and is clearly looking to prove a point/make a case for a contract. If this OL stays healthy, Swift could do both those things in 2022.
GBay Packers
Call this a cop out, but I think it’s wise to think the Packers’ team MVP will be the guy who’s been the league MVP in each of the last two seasons. Aaron Rodgers can make an average receiving corps look great, and I think that’s what he’ll do this season. There have been no signs of his play declining, and I have a hunch he’ll want to prove he can still play at an elite level without his top two receivers from last season.
Houston Texans
After signing a contract extension this offseason that keeps him tied to the team through 2024, Brandin Cooks returns to once again be perhaps the Texans’ only above-average skill position player. Last season, he recorded his sixth 1,000-yard season with his fifth different QB, functioning as a safety blanket for then-rookie Davis Mills while averaging a career-worst 7.7 yds per target — a sign the Texans had little choice but to force-feed him. Though the team hopes to see improvement from second-year receiver Nico Collins and its last-ranked rushing attack, Cooks should occupy a similar role in 2022.
Indianapolis Colts
The strange thing about this Colts offseason is how little the conversation has been about Jonathan Taylor. All he did last year was lead the league in rushing by over 500 yds, and darn near carry the Colts to the playoffs by himself. But with big-name additions at QB, pass rusher and CB, Taylor’s been a bit of an afterthought. That won’t be the case when the Colts hit the field again. The third-year RB is primed to build off his record-setting 2021 season, and once again will be among the most formidable offensive weapons in the league. With Matt Ryan under center, defenses won’t be able to key in on Taylor as much as they did late last season. Look out. Twenty-eight’s back for more.
Jacksonville Jaguars
If you draft a QB No. 1 overall, you need him to be your best player and an obvious team MVP, and Trevor Lawrence should be that in his second NFL season. After only 12 TD passes his rookie year, he could double that easily in 2022, thanks to new receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and TE Evan Engram. If there’s a dark horse to trump him, it could be second-year back Travis Etienne, who missed last year with injury but could be heavily involved in the running and passing game. The safe bet is Lawrence, who had just two multi-TD games last year after totaling 28 at Clemson.
KC Chiefs
The Chiefs are in the midst of rebuilding their roster around Patrick Mahomes, who is entering the second phase of his career. Mahomes, though, is still the NFL’s most talented QB, an accurate gunslinger who can create magic from adverse situations. If Mahomes guides the Chiefs through another strong regular season — while being presented a brutal, historically difficult schedule — he will be the team’s expected MVP. And if Mahomes is excellent without Tyreek Hill and a new revamped group of receivers, he could be the league’s MVP once again.
LVegas Raiders
If it’s not Derek Carr, then something went really wrong. The Raiders traded for Davante Adams, Carr’s old college teammate and arguably the best receiver in the game, and gave a big extension to slot receiver Hunter Renfrow. They also still have Darren Waller, one of the top five TEs in the NFL, as well as a talented RB corps that now includes rookie Zamir White. The OL is a question mark but new coach Josh McDaniels isn’t terribly worried about it as Carr will be getting rid of the ball quickly. Carr was fourth in the league’s MVP voting in 2016 and this group is more talented than that one. Carr is better as well, as he started taking more shots downfield and can extend plays with his feet now.
LA Chargers
This one is obvious. The Chargers’ MVP — and possibly the league’s MVP, too — will be QB Justin Herbert. He was the team’s MVP last season, throwing for over 5,000 yds and 38 TDs while cementing himself as one of the best QBs in football. Herbert will be in the same offensive system this year, surrounded by largely the same coaches and personnel, and that continuity should lead to even more improvement from the superstar. Yes, Herbert is going to be even better in 2022. The next step for Herbert is leading the Chargers to the postseason.
LA Rams
It would be tempting to predict a huge year for QB Matthew Stafford, in his second season with head coach Sean McVay and an arsenal of receivers. But I have to go with reigning Offensive Player of the Year Cooper Kupp here, after he won the historic triple crown in 2021. Kupp has stayed healthy into the offseason, unlike in previous years, and hopes to build off what he accomplished last season; plus, the Rams will play him all over the field as they did last season, which increases his impact.
Miami Dolphins
Tyreek Hill. If you’re a Dolphins fan, you’re rooting for Tua Tagovailoa to take such a step forward that he’s the obvious choice after a breakout third NFL season, but it’s more likely that he improves as a function of the upgraded talent around him. That starts with Hill, who drew a steep price to acquire from the Chiefs, but should give the Dolphins their first player with 10 TD catches in a season since Mike Wallace in 2014. Last time someone had more than 10? Chris Chambers, with 11 in 2005. The team record is probably safe — Mark Clayton had 18 in Dan Marino’s monster 1984 season.