Experts

Bloggers and podcasters aren't particularly "experts", just makin' a living on the internet. Youtube is a great resource for many types of technical information, plus all the "Hello Kitty" vids you might want. But, I wouldn't go 'worship' at any of the political alters on YT....

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Could you please tell me where to go on the web to get the truth? Is it any story that is popular that makes it true? Boots on the ground? I have read and watched hundreds of articles and seen videos from "authorities"...non-edited, and yet there is always more to the story, and whomever is reporting has some kind of bias. So I will take the "slight" of "Hello Kitty" stuff, and you answer this question with finality. :) Just joking.
 

Before the internet we never had armchair experts.
Respectfully, I would disagree. Raised in a very fundamentalist Protestant family, my grandmother went crazy when Kennedy was elected to the Presidency. "A Catholic as President??!! The Pope will be running the USA!!!" She, most certainly, was an "arm chair quarterback".

I spent much of my career working with "educated experts". Spent a lot of time with folks who had a "P.E" behind their name. Intelligence gained through textbooks can't always be considered "expert" if there has been no field/hands-on experience. Learned pretty early in my career that some would be like talking to a brick wall. They were "THE expert". Others, if worked with in a patient and non-argumentative way would see my years of field experience could be a valuable assist in their project design. That ability to cut through the wall of "expert" and hold a positive discussion is why I ended up owning part of a large Midwest engineering firm at my retirement. (Oh, I had/have no college degree.)
I remember visiting with an elderly couple one evening. The husband was a retired college professor. We got involved in an interesting discussion. The narrative began with quite a distance between his opinion and mine. The more we talked... probably over an hour... I finally was able to build my case. As I was leaving, his wife caught me as I went out the door. "You must realize, Bob is extremely intelligent... but not very smart!" Yes... he was an "expert".
 
As a PE myself I do understand what you mean. I always thought of the PE as a kind of union card, it let you in some doors, but was no guarantee of much else. I've worked with good and bad PEs, and self taught engineers and professionals who were every bit as good or better than some highly educated ones.

Like the PE all a degree proves is that the person had sufficient perseverance and intelligence to earn it. If you have enough time and money it doesn't take a whole lot of either. As with the PE it opens some doors more easily than not.

My education and PE has allowed me to do some things that I probably would not have been able to do without. For that I appreciate having them.

Myself, except when legally required or required by a client, I never paid much attention to a person's PE registration status or education. Focusing on what they can do works a lot better.
 

Could you please tell me where to go on the web to get the truth? Is it any story that is popular that makes it true? Boots on the ground? I have read and watched hundreds of articles and seen videos from "authorities"...non-edited, and yet there is always more to the story, and whomever is reporting has some kind of bias. So I will take the "slight" of "Hello Kitty" stuff, and you answer this question with finality. :) Just jok
@Paco Dennis, the "hello kitty" was not meant as any kind of slight. But to address your query- "Could you please tell me where to go on the web to get the truth?" I piece together the "truth" from many sources in order to get a better understanding of "what" to believe. Sometimes I simply have to reserve judgement altogether. Most news media have opinion commentators, I never listen to them because I'd rather do my own thinking. If a media outlet tries to play own your emotions(eg: make you mad, fearful etc) that's a sign of manipulation that is classic thought control. Just like strangers on the street have their own demeanor, websites and cable news outlets have theirs. In both cases a person has to carefully assess their demeanors in order to determine if they're going to be victimized or not.
 
@Paco Dennis, the "hello kitty" was not meant as any kind of slight. But to address your query- "Could you please tell me where to go on the web to get the truth?" I piece together the "truth" from many sources in order to get a better understanding of "what" to believe. Sometimes I simply have to reserve judgement altogether. Most news media have opinion commentators, I never listen to them because I'd rather do my own thinking. If a media outlet tries to play own your emotions(eg: make you mad, fearful etc) that's a sign of manipulation that is classic thought control. Just like strangers on the street have their own demeanor, websites and cable news outlets have theirs. In both cases a person has to carefully assess their demeanors in order to determine if they're going to be victimized or not.
I use the same method and as you well know there are thousands of varying rabbit holes to get lost in. Can anyone be totally objective? I don't think so. We are not machines. Life is filled with melodrama, and myths/stories come as close to the truth as all the science put together.
Maybe. :)
 
As a PE myself I do understand what you mean. I always thought of the PE as a kind of union card, it let you in some doors, but was no guarantee of much else. I've worked with good and bad PEs, and self taught engineers and professionals who were every bit as good or better than some highly educated ones.

Like the PE all a degree proves is that the person had sufficient perseverance and intelligence to earn it. If you have enough time and money it doesn't take a whole lot of either. As with the PE it opens some doors more easily than not.

My education and PE has allowed me to do some things that I probably would not have been able to do without. For that I appreciate having them.

Myself, except when legally required or required by a client, I never paid much attention to a person's PE registration status or education. Focusing on what they can do works a lot better.
Yes, most were "Professional Engineers". There were some, though, whose PE you would define as "P**ck with Ears" under your breath. I spent a little over 40 years in the water/wastewater construction and engineering field. I only wish, at the collegiate level, the engineering education would include sufficient teaching of the human component of the field. So many engineers cannot or do not want to deal with confrontational issues. I was called to a project where the owner was upset with the contractor and our on-site representative. Within 48 hours, I had refused to approve a half-million dollar contractor's pay request and told him we would not accept almost $100,000 of fabricated stainless steel piping. The Engineer's phone was ringing off the wall!!! He called me in my hotel room and told me he was resigning from our firm. I told him he was one of the best young engineers I had worked with. His design was top notch and would be a huge benefit to the client. He said he just could not... would not get involved in a "food fight" with the contractor. I asked him to please reconsider. Asked him to set up a meeting with the contractor that I would chair. He didn't need to say a word during the meeting... just observe. That was in 2010. He's still with the firm long after I've been retired. He had to do some self-education in working through some intense confrontation... and has.
I was retired at 69... I thought. Playing golf on a 4th of July weekend, out of state. My phone rang and it was the firm. When I answered, they said they needed me back for about 6 months. Immediately told them "NO!". Told them if there was anything to discuss, I would help, and to call me the next week.
A contractor was in trouble, in a 40' deep excavation. They could not get the infiltrating water source cut off so concrete could be placed and the project continue. The contractor was already almost 60 days behind schedule. The pre-project bore logs did not show this much water.
After an "interesting" discussion about compensation, 24 hours later I was on the way to the project site, two states away. On site, I have a very frustrated and angry contractor. I have a very frustrated and angry client. I have both angry with our firm, even though the contract was very explicit that site investigation was the responsibility of the bidder.
Took me three weeks. The first week was just convincing the contractor what the problem was and how we could solve it. The second week was procuring and getting the proper material to the job site. By the fourth week, he was setting forms and tying steel. Our firm still has a working relationship with that client. The contractor... though his feelings and pocketbook were hurt... thanked me when I turned the project over to a younger representative.

Things underground can change. Textbooks don't always suggest how to analyze and correct those changes in a time sensitive means. Attitudes can change when a contractor finds they can run over the engineer's representative and the client to save time and money. These type of things need taught in college!!! They aren't. Engineering student at taught to get from 1 to 5 you have to go 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Sometimes to get to 5 you have to go 1, 3, 4, 2, 5.
I've rattled on too long. "Expert" has been politicized. "Expert" has been a title to gain more financial gain, more celebrity status. Yet, there ARE many very good and sound "experts" in their fields. It's just difficult to decipher those who have not been compromised by money or fame from those who quietly perform their work.
 
You have a good doctor, better keep him.

Mine is the same, problem is he is about my age and not in great health. I fear he will retire soon.
I absolutely love my doctor! I switched to him after seeing his bedside manner with my elderly mother. She was in the hospital and he was brought in to evaluate and clear her for surgery after his office mate, her podiatrist, forgot to get clearance from her then PCP. He takes time with me....the last two times 45 minutes and 1 hour. He explains things thoroughly, sometimes drawing a diagram. Once I asked him about ingredients in the pneumonia vaccine which he tried to get me to take for a couple of years. He got the pamphlet out of the vaccine box and read through it to find the answer! Now mind you...that print is tiny. I wound up taking the vaccine. We also share an instrument in common (Clavinova) and we sometimes talk about that. He used to say he doesn't play that well (unlike me and that's up for debate) and only fooled around with it...but was in a garage band and they wound up gigging in an Atlantic City casino!

We consider each other friends really and have a great deal of respect and caring for one another. He and his wife invited me to join the patient advisory counsel they were forming and I happily accepted. It consisted of 5 patients, nurses, the nurse practitioner and office manager (his wife). She was great too but she retired just before the pandemic. He's so nice to work for that his assistant office manager who lives in PA, which is quite a distance, left for a time to find something closer. She wound up coming back. She's worked for him for over two decades. I'll message you his video.
 
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As any trial lawyer can attest!
That's not true, at least with most of the criminal trial lawyers I know. Lawyers who work on contingency fees are also less likely to lie to their clients. They simply don't take cases they can't win, unless they are lacking in common sense. The rest of them, I don't know anything about, except for some things I've read that aren't so great.
 
That's not true, at least with most of the criminal trial lawyers I know. Lawyers who work on contingency fees are also less likely to lie to their clients. They simply don't take cases they can't win, unless they are lacking in common sense. The rest of them, I don't know anything about, except for some things I've read that aren't so great.
I will defer to your personal knowedge, tho i've read of cases, and seen documentaries where where each side had.'expert' witnesses (often medical professionals or psychiatrists) presenting opinions that contradict each other.

As for lawyers without common sense there is a case in news currently where we've seen a lot of that, which seems to be annoying the jjudge. My daughter has been warching it more closely than i and saw clip where one defense lawyer objected (not withdrew, objected) to their own question.

Our best guess is that they (the defense has been thru a few since beginning) are general entertainment lawyers who usually deal with contractual matters and should not have attempted to defend an individual (as opposed to more often sued tabloid journalists) against defamation claims. They may have thought it a slam dunk because the defendant female and accusations of domestic violence involved.
 
I see a lot of expert bashing here, some of it with good reason, some not. In general I believe we do have many experts and they are getting better, however we are trusting them less. I believe there are some reasons for this including:
  1. People being portrayed in the media as experts who are not. Just because a person is articulate and appears to be an expert doesn't make them one, but it could get them on TV.
  2. True experts are not necessarily good communicators.
  3. The difficulty we naturally have with understanding and accepting uncertainty. We want black and white answers where they don't exist. This is true of all of us, some more than others.
I was prompted to post this based on a very good and balanced podcast on the subject by Michael Lewis on why Americans disrespect experts. https://www.audible.com/pd/Michael-Lewis-on-why-Americans-distrust-experts-Podcast/B09Y5ZGJQW I think he does a very good job of explaining the problem. In the end if we are to make any scientific or technical progress we need to figure out how to understand what experts really are and can tell us, and what they can't.
Some things lend themselves to expertise, some don't.

For example, I trust "the experts" in subjects such as how to play bridge, how to lay bricks, how to butterfly a leg of lamb, how to fix a carburetor.

I don't trust "the experts" when they talk about who is going to win the next presidential election, what Putin's motivations are, the causes of crime, whether men can have babies, how to invest money over the next five years.
 
Also, beware of "experts" who venture outside their fields of expertise.

Noam Chomsky is a great example. He is said to be brilliant in his academic field of linguistics. I'm not qualified to judge. When he talks about global politics, he is, in my opinion, a blithering Marxist idiot.

Similarly, William Shockley won the Nobel Prize for his invention of the transistor. He was also a vile racist crackpot.
 
Also, beware of "experts" who venture outside their fields of expertise.

.
I mentioned the same thing. We have to remember that no matter how impressive their credentials they're subject to the same human foibles as the rest of us.

While we might find what they think about things outside their area of expertise interesting, we probably shouldn't give it more weight than anyone else's opinion.
 
I don't have cable nor do I have a smartphones so I'm lucky in the fact that I don't have to look at all those experts there. Lot of the so-called experts are full of "you know what." Where I live there is a "Dr. Hook" In reality this is a tow-truck company that goes around dragging cars to a compound where you end up paying hundreds of dollars to get your vehicle back. If I want an expert, I go to a garage or see my doctor.

I don't follow some Hollywood type with white teeth telling me how to live my life. We need more educated people who know what critical thinking and are able to look at an article or listening to some expert and understand that he/she is just pushing some agenda.

Saw a film last night that said that Facebook doesn't have even 1 report. Apparently, they just copy news from someplace. This same film said that years ago news agencies made accurate reporting the No. 1 issue for their news. Today the No. 1 issue is to get that news out before anyone else and "to hack" with accuracy. Another problem with current news is that there is too much speculation. It's not real news; it just some garbage that someone thinks might happen. Some "expert" I guess.
 
Could you please tell me where to go on the web to get the truth?
You ask a really good question, I have given it some thought. Of course I am no expert on experts, but here is what I do, or try to:
  • Look for a variety of opinions from a variety of experts. Those on both sides of the question. I think this gives a better rounded view of what people are saying.
  • I do my best to screen real experts and expertise from the noise, not always easy.
  • Look to the scientific or technical basis behind the question, peer reviewed literature and the like.
  • Listen to trusted friends, people who I believe are even handed, or who's biases I know.
  • Recognize there is and always will be uncertainty, experts worth listening to acknowledge this. And we do not usually like it, we want black and white answers in a world where they don't exist. If you listen to the podcast I linked in the first post you will find that much time is devoted to this issue. For example he says the pollsters who opined that Hillary would win in 2016 in many cases were saying the odds are she will win, ie a 70% chance. Well things with a 30% probability happen 30% of the time...
  • I don't write off expert opinions on topics where there is a lot of uncertainty; or really on any topic that I don't know a lot about myself. The world is full of people smarter than I, I take advantage of their knowledge when I can.
Of course not all this is usually possible, but I do what I can, and when I don't follow the process I know I am accepting more risk of getting it wrong.

There is a lot of discussion of experts lying here, I think the word is overused. To me lying is saying something one knows to be wrong, and I think that is rare. However over simplifying, implying more certainty than exists, and just innocently getting it wrong are common. There is a difference.

I used to do expert witness work, testifying at trial. Different courts have different standards, but generally people are accepted as experts if they know more about something than the general public. A rather low bar. The way the courts sort it out is by considering the expert's qualifications and the opinions of experts on both sides. That is a little like what I do now.
 
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I am not an expert of anything, not even myself. For there are people who know me better than myself.
 
I will defer to your personal knowedge, tho i've read of cases, and seen documentaries where where each side had.'expert' witnesses (often medical professionals or psychiatrists) presenting opinions that contradict each other.

As for lawyers without common sense there is a case in news currently where we've seen a lot of that, which seems to be annoying the jjudge. My daughter has been warching it more closely than i and saw clip where one defense lawyer objected (not withdrew, objected) to their own question.

Our best guess is that they (the defense has been thru a few since beginning) are general entertainment lawyers who usually deal with contractual matters and should not have attempted to defend an individual (as opposed to more often sued tabloid journalists) against defamation claims. They may have thought it a slam dunk because the defendant female and accusations of domestic violence involved.
Yes, and later, some of those famous experts turned out to be frauds. That situation really pisses me off. The battle of the experts is no laughing matter. Neither is how eyewitness testimony is inherently unreliable, especially in criminal cases.

I was peripherally involved in a civil case once (as a lawyer) during which the defense attorney said something (I can't remember what) and then laid down, curled up on his back to illustrate his remark by being a turtle. That lawyer was, IMO, as dumb as a stump, but he later made millions handling large class action suits.

Usually the good lawyers end up cleaning up after the bad lawyers. I guess it's a matter of, like doctors, someone had to be last in his/her class in grad school. And some people have very little common sense.

Also, experts at trials get paid a lot of money. In the mid-90s, a psychiatrist charged my husband's client $40,000 to testify on his behalf. It was outrageous, padded bill and all.
 
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Also, experts at trials get paid a lot of money. In the mid-90s, a psychiatrist charged my husband's client $40,000 to testify on his behalf. It was outrageous, padded bill and all.
I did a lot of expert witness work, engineering not medicine. It can be hard to evaluate what the actual cost of testifying is. Engineers usually charge by the hour, something between about $200 and $500, though I have seen more and less. This is not usually cash to the expert, their are overhead costs. If the expert works for an engineering company she/he usually ends up with something like 30 to 50% of the hourly charges.

No one gets rich doing expert witness work, no one I know anyway. One problem with it that is not true of other work is it can and often does settle suddenly and without warning. One day you are working 12 hrs a day then suddenly you get a call telling you to stop. Hard to plan on the income stream as you can with other work. Then you have to start looking around for the next job, that can take a while.

However, many more hours are typically spent in preparation than in actual testimony. I have had cases where I spent thousands of hours preparing reports, supporting the lawyers in various ways, etc. I probably never spent fewer than 40 hours in prep, if the client did not want to pay for what I believed was adequate prep I turned the job down. Hard to competently testify unless you know the case and facts well, and have been allowed adequate time to digest it all.

In probably 75% of the cases I worked an expert report or reports were required by the court, these can be time consuming and costly to prepare.

Some engineers charged a premium for actual testimony time, something like double the normal hourly rate. I never did, those hours always seemed to make up a small part of the assignment.
 
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Yes, and later, some of those famous experts turned out to be frauds. That situation really pisses me off. The battle of the experts is no laughing matter.
....
Also, experts at trials get paid a lot of money. In the mid-90s, a psychiatrist charged my husband's client $40,000 to testify on his behalf. It was outrageous, padded bill and all.
What you mention in those sentences is probably what was on my mind when i made that response to Capt. Lightening in post #22.

What you mentioned about eyewitness testimony ("Neither is how eyewitness testimony is inherently unreliable, especially in criminal cases") probably deserves a whole discussion of its own. i do know it's why, when i worked in banks, part of our training relating to robberies included the injunction NOT to discuss details, particularly perpetrators' descriptions until after we had all given our individual statements to police.

While there may still be differences in perceptions/memory of event and criminals the police have better chance of getting a usable description by looking at most commonly reported elements--height, tattoos, scars. There's less chance of 'stronger' personalities influencing how more passive, less self confident people remember things.
 
I did a lot of expert witness work, engineering not medicine. It can be hard to evaluate what the actual cost of testifying is. Engineers usually charge by the hour, something between about $200 and $500, though I have seen more and less.

However, many more hours are typically spent in preparation than in actual testimony. I have had cases where I spent thousands of hours preparing reports, supporting the lawyers in various ways, etc. I probably never spent fewer than 40 hours in prep, if the client did not want to pay for what I believed was adequate prep I turned the job down. Hard to competently testify unless you know the case and facts well, and have been allowed adequate time to digest it all.

In probably 75% of the cases I worked an expert report or reports were required by the court, these can be time consuming and costly to prepare.

Some engineers charged a premium for actual testimony time, something like double the normal hourly rate. I never did, those hours always seemed to make up a small part of the assignment.
Thanks for sharing this. Tho i would think what an engineer would testify about would be more objective than say a psychologist, or even medical doctors who can disagree on some ailments and treatments. How temperature and other stress factors, including improper use of something, might effect the efficiency/safety of equipment or structures???? (i'm guessing and asking.)

Certainly people need to be paid for their time and knowledge--but when it climbs into the thousands, one has to wonder if their conscience is being lulled.
 

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