Kentucky Derby this Saturday


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I think I'll pick So Happy because I know Mike Smith is a winning jockey. I don't really trust Bob Baffert's stables these days.

I really like to see the horses first, but I've learned that I can watch the entire two hour pre-race show and only see stories about the owners.

I don't gamble, but I write my pick on a post-it before the race so I can brag to the family later if my horse wins. I have a pretty good record.
 
Okay, I poked around a little more and I'm sticking with Incredibolt because I've always had a soft spot for underdogs. I even asked AI about it and got this:
  • He’s not a top favorite, but not a hopeless outsider either.
  • Think of him as a “value longshot”—unlikely, but plausible if things break perfectly.
 
I am going with Commandment also.
I would have picked Emerging Market for a winning placement but his post position will make him
burn his speed out I think. If he'd placed 7-10th post position I may have felt better.
 
Well that was exciting! First Great White throwing his rider and rolling on the ground, then all those horses coming from the back and finally Golden Tempo wining for the first woman trainer! Good race!
 
Very exciting and unusual Derby! Golden Tempo came from way back in the pack, found a lane, then went outside, and raced to the win by half a head!! Rarely do you see a horse come from that far back to win it. Now see what GT does in the Preakness....
 
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