That's a shame...
Percentages re: infection rate?
- Thread starter chic
- Start date
It's probably very hard to pin down infection percentage rates in general. But one statistic I keep seeing is the number of deaths and hospitalizations, analyzed by age of patient. Obviously, the overwhelming number of really bad outcomes is from older people, apparently the older the worse. I think they've got a pretty good handle on that, numerically.
Which is why the CDC is recommending that frontline workers and people over 75 should be next in line for the vaccine.
Which is why the CDC is recommending that frontline workers and people over 75 should be next in line for the vaccine.
Victor
Senior Member
- Location
- midwest USA
A very good question that I studied from the start. The media, health experts are silent on this.
The answers are fairly clear and easy to figure, up to a general estimation. It is not mentioned because authorities want the public to follow all their advice and laws. The rate of infection and deaths is determined by dividing the population in (your county, state, city or nation) into the number of cases therein. It is plain statistics. I advise narrowing this to your age category, possibly race and gender, if applicable. That takes research in the census. I figured my percents in March and it has not changed, significantly. Factored in my age group, gender and location by county and state. I am in a high-risk group because of my health. Estimated about .0006 of one percent of infection and much less for chances of death. Of course, this is not exact by any means. Gives you a rough estimate.. If the news and health authorities talked about this, people would become more lax and not follow their rules (masks, social distance). So I am glad they say nothing--it's for the best. A few months ago, the New York Times had a long article on this. I thought the chances would rise as the virus spikes up but it has not happened. Cases may be actually larger and smaller with deaths.
Where I live only 19 people, mostly over 80 have died in nursing homes, out of 14,000 pop. Still, everyone takes it very seriously, as if they would die without their masks.
I have told this to many people, including forums, and no one gets it. They don't understand because they are so scared. I am not making it up. Do the easy math. I won a medical writing contest about COVID--with this data.
The answers are fairly clear and easy to figure, up to a general estimation. It is not mentioned because authorities want the public to follow all their advice and laws. The rate of infection and deaths is determined by dividing the population in (your county, state, city or nation) into the number of cases therein. It is plain statistics. I advise narrowing this to your age category, possibly race and gender, if applicable. That takes research in the census. I figured my percents in March and it has not changed, significantly. Factored in my age group, gender and location by county and state. I am in a high-risk group because of my health. Estimated about .0006 of one percent of infection and much less for chances of death. Of course, this is not exact by any means. Gives you a rough estimate.. If the news and health authorities talked about this, people would become more lax and not follow their rules (masks, social distance). So I am glad they say nothing--it's for the best. A few months ago, the New York Times had a long article on this. I thought the chances would rise as the virus spikes up but it has not happened. Cases may be actually larger and smaller with deaths.
Where I live only 19 people, mostly over 80 have died in nursing homes, out of 14,000 pop. Still, everyone takes it very seriously, as if they would die without their masks.
I have told this to many people, including forums, and no one gets it. They don't understand because they are so scared. I am not making it up. Do the easy math. I won a medical writing contest about COVID--with this data.
Don M.
SF VIP
- Location
- central Missouri
Trying to get accurate numbers on this virus is a real chore. Just recently, our State found that the number have been underreported. They did a recalculation of the numbers from August thru November, and found that the actual number of cases and deaths from this virus were about 5% more than had been previously reported. Either way, its a mess, and likely to remain so for the foreseeable future.