NFL Week 4 Predictions: Pt 2 of 2
NY Times Sept. 30, 2021 | All times Eastern.
Washington Footballers at Atlanta Falcons, 1p, Fox
Pick: Footballers
Two 1-2 teams face off in a battle to be .500. Oddsmakers predict a tossup, as Washington’s D has not played to its potential. Atlanta (1-2) has rushed for 100 yds only once and is heavily relying on Matt Ryan’s arm at the ripe age of 36. But the Footballers (1-2) failed to sack Bills QB Josh Allen last week, and he dissected them for four TDs. Against a weaker OL, Washington should find more success.
Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills, 1p, CBS
Pick: Bills
The Bills (2-1) are a lopsided pick, with a defense generating three turnovers in each of the last two games. It will feast on Davis Mills of the Texans (1-2), who threw for 168 yds and was sacked four times in his first NFL start last week against Carolina. It’s emblematic of the Texans that QB Deshaun Watson is getting paid $10 million in salary to sit and watch this season implode. Expect the score to get ugly quick.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears, 1p, CBS
Pick: Bears
The Lions (0-3) have played competitively in first halves against playoff-caliber teams. Ravens kicker Justin Tucker had to convert a record 66-yard FG to rob Detroit of a win last week. That evasive W may come against the Bears (1-2), who posted 1 net passing yard (yes, one yard total) with rookie Justin Fields taking nine sacks by the Browns. Coach Matt Nagy said Fields, Andy Dalton and Nick Foles are all under consideration to start. Can Bear fans spell d-y-s-f-u-n-c-t-i-o-n?
Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins, 1p, CBS
Pick: Dolphins
Injuries continue to plague the Colts (0-3), most recently with All-Pro OG Quenton Nelson, who sprained his ankle and was carted off the field last week. The Colts hope DT DeForest Buckner will help rush Miami’s backup QB, Jacoby Brissett. Brissett completed over 65% of his passes in an OT loss to the Raiders in Week 3, showing he can manage the offense efficiently while Tua Tagovailoa’s ribs heal. If that level of play continues and Miami’s D generates pressure and turnovers, the Carson Wentz experiment in Indianapolis could remain winless.
Giants at New Orleans Saints, 1p, Fox
Pick: Saints
It’s a second straight 0-4 start under Giants coach Joe Judge, who might not get a chance at a third straight next season. Receivers Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton (injured hamstrings) were both ruled out for Game 4, removing two of QB Daniel Jones’s favorite targets. Expect Jones and the Giants (0-3) to struggle against deafening Superdome noise for the Saints’ first true 2021 home game. The Saints (2-1), whose defense collected three interceptions last week against the Patriots, should have fun as Jones throws to receivers on the bottom of the depth chart.
Tennessee Titans at Jets, 1p, CBS
Pick: Titans
Receiver A.J. Brown’s hamstring injury should not stop the Titans (2-1) from winning this game easily, given the team’s formidable stars, RB Derrick Henry and receiver Julio Jones. The Jets lack such options. The rookie QB Zach Wilson has thrown seven interceptions to two TDs, and the Jets (0-3) have only once rushed for more than 100 yds. Even a developing defense like Tennessee’s should be able to contain the Jets’ attack.
KC at Philadelphia Eagles, 1p, CBS
Pick: KC
KC (1-2) has had back-to-back losses only three times since 2018, and unexpectedly sit at the bottom of the AFC West. They are likely to bounce back against the Eagles (1-2), who took a beating from Dallas on Monday and had a short week to prepare. KC Coach Andy Reid returned to work after being treated for dehydration after Sunday’s game. He will likely preach ball security to his team, which committed six total turnovers in losses vs Ravens and Chargers.
If the Chiefs can fix those issues, their firepower should be too much for the Eagles’ young offense to respond. This game could mark Andy Reid’s 100th win with the Chiefs. He won 140 with the Eagles (1999-2012), making him the first NFL coach to win 100 games (postseason included) with multiple teams.
Pittsburgh Steelers at GBay Packers, 4:25p, CBS
Pick: Packers
Ben Roethlisberger has not looked like himself this season, while Aaron Rodgers is back to doing Aaron Rodgers-like things. Pittsburgh’s pedestrian offense is a problem and now faces a Packers team (2-1) beginning to click. Pittsburgh’s has yet to rush for more than 75 yds in a game this season and its defense has given up first-quarter leads. The Steelers (1-2) are hopeful outside linebacker TJ Watt (groin) will be available after missing last week’s loss to the Bengals, but Aaron Rodgers’s output should far exceed that of the Steelers’ offense.
Monday’s Matchup
LVegas Raiders at LA Chargers, 8:15p, ESPN
Pick: Chargers
A critical AFC West game. KC must figure out how to end its rut vs the Eagles. The Broncos face the Ravens, their first winning opponent. Here in LA either the Chargers or the Raiders will gain invaluable ground in the division. Raiders Derek Carr, NFL’s leader in passing yards, goes against up-and-coming Chargers passer Justin Herbert. The Raiders running game is in flux. Star RB Josh Jacobs (toe) is day to day, but back-up Peyton Barber had success against Miami, with 20+ touches and 100 rushing yards.
Matchups to watch: can the Chargers’ new-look OL can hold its own against the Raiders’ improved pass rush? The Chargers (2-1) have allowed only five sacks, but LAC’s offense leads the league in penalty yds (243). Chargers rookie tackle Rashawn Slater may struggle against elite Raiders DE Maxx Crosby. Chargers safety Derwin James will have to lock down Raiders TE Darren Waller.