Ukraine will be defeated, imo, but after a significant loss of life and terrible suffering by the Ukrainians (or is it Iranians, us old folks can't keep this stuff straight). Belarus has become a puppet of Russia and will be the gateway to stirring up trouble in Lithuania... again my opinion. Kaliningrad Oblast is Russian territory, bounded by Lithuania, Poland and the Baltic Sea. It would not be unrealistic to expect some type of contrived separatist movement, similar to Ukraine's DonBas region, in southern Lithuania (a 60 miles stretch), so that a land connection would be in place between the puppet Belarus and the Oblast. Of course that would isolate the remainder of Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia from the rest of NATO and the EU.