Texas' population expected to reach 96 million by 2100-- making it largest in US

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hollydolly

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It's a new world and Texas will be at the center of it, as the Lone Star State is expected to become the most populous in the US by 2100 with a whooping 96 million residents, according to a study.

In 77 years, New York, Chicago and LA will be replaced by Texas cities as the largest in the nation, a study from moveBuddha claims.

The moving company made the bold projections by applying 2010-2020 Census growth rates to the top U.S. metropolitan areas.

'The future of America may lie in Texas,' moveBuddha said in its analysis.

'Based on current migration trends, moveBuddha predicts that by 2100, Dallas, Houston, and Austin will replace NYC, LA, and Chicago as the country's most populous cities.'
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The Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, currently the fourth largest in the nation, is expected to swell to a population of nearly 34 million by the turn of the 22nd century-- replacing New York City as the biggest city in America.

Houston will rise from around 7.2 million to 31.3 million people, while Austin will see its population grow 10-fold from the current 2.3 million to almost 23 million, the forecasts predict.

Meanwhile, New York City and Los Angeles will continue to grow - but much more slowly, falling to #5 and #7, respectively, in the same time frame.

Texas has a long way to go before it becomes the population behemoth of 96 million people.

The southern state is currently home to 30 million residents-- second behind California's 39 million total.

Much of the growth has been the result of people defecting from California and Florida, RealestateTexas.com reported.

Louisiana, Illinois, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Georgia and Arizona were other top states for people moving to the popular state.

The Dallas region has had the biggest population growth of any US metro area last year, with much of the new growth in suburban areas of the city.

Over 170,000 people moved there in the last year, US Census data revealed.

Texas grew by 4 million people, adding new residents to every single large city: Dallas, Houston, Fort Worth, Austin and San Antonio.

Moving giant U-Haul ranks the Lone Star State the #1 Growth State of 2022.

Even though relocating slowed down in other parts of country during and after the pandemic, it didn't in Texas.

Movers arriving in Texas accounted for nearly 50.3% of all one-way U-Haul truck traffic

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Dallas and surrounding suburban cities are expected to be home to nearly 34 million people by the turn of the century-- making it the largest city in the nation
Texas is great because you have a low the cost of living, no state income tax, and deregulated energy costs,' added Robert Abidin, U-Haul Company of Northeast Houston president.

'Texas is also the energy capital of the U.S. We’re home to every major industry. Anything you’re looking for in Texas, you can find in Texas.'

The moving company named Missouri City and Conroe (Houston area) and Richardson (Dallas) as the top growth cities. Roanoke, Porter, Pharr, College Station-Bryan, Cypress, Mesquite, Katy, Magnolia, Huntsville, Longview, Prosper, North Richland Hills, Baytown and Kingwood also saw sizable growth, according to U-Haul.
Full story here...
Texas poised to become most populous state in US by 2100
 

There is a geographical problem with Texas/western state cities. Not that they aren't huge growing metropolises. But they have the capacity to absorb surrounding communities and become one huge city. New York and most eastern cities have finite boundaries. While NYC hasn't grown in size, the New York Metro Area extends about 100 miles from Manhattan. Both Texas and NYC Metro are the result of more and more Americans leaving rural areas for the vast, and wide city.
 
If Texas continues to grow, that State better start making some major investments in its electrical grid. The major outages that occurred in the Winter of 2021 could be even worse if large numbers of people move to that State. Plus, if the climate continues to warm, Summers will be increasingly miserable in the Southern States.
 
The entire country needs to make major improvements in the electrical grid since we are told we must be driving an EV by 2035.
 
I am in Texas in the Dallas Fort Worth area. The area has completely grown in all directions. Half the time you don't know which city you are in because they have all grown together into what is now the metroplex.

When I was a child there were still farms and ranches around, now that is all gone. If you want to go to the country side it is a long drive. We lived in a little town. We lived in a little neighborhood but still had a 1/2 acre garden. We had a pony and chickens.

I wish it was still that way today. It was the best of both worlds, in between two big cities where there was everything but it was still beautiful and quiet in our town.
 
Interesting graph but I never knew that the city I live in was located in Texas and not Arizona :ROFLMAO:. I don't know about the future growth of Texas but I do know it is unlikely that Phoenix will reach 22 million by 2100. Maricopa County has started limiting developments in some areas due to future projections of the limited groundwater available.
 
fuzzybuddy said:
There is a geographical problem with Texas/western state cities. Not that they aren't huge growing metropolises. But they have the capacity to absorb surrounding communities and become one huge city. New York and most eastern cities have finite boundaries. While NYC hasn't grown in size, the New York Metro Area extends about 100 miles from Manhattan. Both Texas and NYC Metro are the result of more and more Americans leaving rural areas for the vast, and wide city.
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why do you think that is ?..

I ask, because here in the Uk the opposite is happening.
Since the pandemic and vast swathes of people working from home .. now people realise that they no longer have to live in the city to be able to be close to work, they can work from home, or choose to work flexi time...so we're having a much higher incidence of working age people seeking homes in the country and rural areas and out of the cities than ever before.

previous to that the rural area had people who were born and raised here or, older couple buying second homes.. now people with families are looking for it to be their permanent place to live...
 
Don M. said:
If Texas continues to grow, that State better start making some major investments in its electrical grid. The major outages that occurred in the Winter of 2021 could be even worse if large numbers of people move to that State. Plus, if the climate continues to warm, Summers will be increasingly miserable in the Southern States.
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Very true. I live in Dallas, and Ercot (who oversees our electrical grid) has already warned that the increasing population and hotter summers will tax the current grid. We had virtually no Spring. Hot temps started in May. This past weekend, in late October for god's sake, we were still in the low 90's.

I absolutely believe in Global Warming, but I'm waiting to see what next Summer is like. After all, we had a deep freeze a couple of years ago that was like nothing in recent history, but it hasn't happened again.

We have a great quality of life here, but I am continually looking at real estate in other cities or countries. The challenge is that even places with typically great climates are now subject to crazy weather events like flooding, fires, etc.
 
When I lived in Houston I find it amazing that driving 20 minutes led me to mile upon mile of empty land. As bag as Houston is/was, it's surrounded by acres and acres of space - meaning it has room to expand. Since it's expanding fast, house prices are lower. Since house prices are lower, more people move in. And so it goes.
 
When we moved to Texas in the early 2000's, we chose to live in a surburb of Dallas. I thought the small town had character. Main Street had a true western appeal. We had wheat and corn fields, plus longhorn cows!
Unfortunately within our 5 years stay, the population almost doubled. We already had water restrictions before we left as well.
The fields disappeared and were replaced by brick houses, roads, and shopping centers. This was happening not just to our town but to all the surrounding towns as well.
 
seadoug said:
Very true. I live in Dallas, and Ercot (who oversees our electrical grid) has already warned that the increasing population and hotter summers will tax the current grid. We had virtually no Spring. Hot temps started in May. This past weekend, in late October for god's sake, we were still in the low 90's.

I absolutely believe in Global Warming, but I'm waiting to see what next Summer is like. After all, we had a deep freeze a couple of years ago that was like nothing in recent history, but it hasn't happened again.

We have a great quality of life here, but I am continually looking at real estate in other cities or countries. The challenge is that even places with typically great climates are now subject to crazy weather events like flooding, fires, etc.
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About the electric grid in Texas- on TV, Texas has its own electric grid. It is not connected to any other grid. All other states are connected to a national grid, power can be shifted to where it's needed. Texas' grid is all by itself, it does not have the capacity for extreme usage. Texas has to seriously beef up its reserve power, or join the national grid.
 
Texas is also one of 17 states that want to institute a per-mile Highway Use Tax.

Part of the justification was supposed to be the well off buying EVs and evading gasoline road taxes, but now it sounds like all non-commercial vehicles will be paying.

I suppose the details vary by state.
 
fuzzybuddy said:
About the electric grid in Texas- on TV, Texas has its own electric grid. It is not connected to any other grid. All other states are connected to a national grid, power can be shifted to where it's needed.
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I believe there are at least two "national grids," but point taken.

Even so things are only just so interconnected. In the 2003 Northeast Blackout I only had power drop and then within 2 minutes (or less) it came back on and stayed on. Other parts of the grid were out for days.
 
dilettante said:
Texas is also one of 17 states that want to institute a per-mile Highway Use Tax.

Part of the justification was supposed to be the well off buying EVs and evading gasoline road taxes, but now it sounds like all non-commercial vehicles will be paying.

I suppose the details vary by state.
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The only justification they need is it hurts those people whom oppose their views on the oil industry, etc.
 
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MarkinPhx said:
Interesting graph but I never knew that the city I live in was located in Texas and not Arizona :ROFLMAO:. I don't know about the future growth of Texas but I do know it is unlikely that Phoenix will reach 22 million by 2100. Maricopa County has started limiting developments in some areas due to future projections of the limited groundwater available.
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I know, right??!! I just looked at that and said out loud - WTH. I LIVE in Arizona and I know it's waaay lower than 22 mil! Who puts out this garbage?? (At least the over inflated population may keep some people away -- and, oh yes, IT'S WICKED HOT IN THE SUMMER!!)
 
I doubt that will ever happen because due to our already current way way overpopulated with human's planet, societal problems in our lifetimes are already growing at exponential rates. As I've speculated before, either nuclear war or a CRISPR engineered bioweapon will occur leaving small remnant populations over several generations within dystopian conditions. What rises from those ashes hundreds of years later if life on the planet survives, may be a technical science paradise or tyrannical hell.
 
I see no reason to go to Texas. Not on my Bucket List. My friend flies to the Islands off to the south all the time. You know you have to fly over all those miles! Sure most of it has Toll roads to pay, just like Florida.
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Ugh!
 
Rossana said:
When we moved to Texas in the early 2000's, we chose to live in a surburb of Dallas. I thought the small town had character. Main Street had a true western appeal. We had wheat and corn fields, plus longhorn cows!
Unfortunately within our 5 years stay, the population almost doubled. We already had water restrictions before we left as well.
The fields disappeared and were replaced by brick houses, roads, and shopping centers. This was happening not just to our town but to all the surrounding towns as well.
Click to expand...
 
Rossana said:
When we moved to Texas in the early 2000's, we chose to live in a surburb of Dallas. I thought the small town had character. Main Street had a true western appeal. We had wheat and corn fields, plus longhorn cows!
Unfortunately within our 5 years stay, the population almost doubled. We already had water restrictions before we left as well.
The fields disappeared and were replaced by brick houses, roads, and shopping centers. This was happening not just to our town but to all the surrounding towns as well.
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They call that "Progress" but I have my doubts.
 
Blessed said:
I am in Texas in the Dallas Fort Worth area. The area has completely grown in all directions. Half the time you don't know which city you are in because they have all grown together into what is now the metroplex.

When I was a child there were still farms and ranches around, now that is all gone. If you want to go to the country side it is a long drive. We lived in a little town. We lived in a little neighborhood but still had a 1/2 acre garden. We had a pony and chickens.

I wish it was still that way today. It was the best of both worlds, in between two big cities where there was everything but it was still beautiful and quiet in our town.
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I lived in Arlington for several months one summer, in 1984. It was my first time in Texas. It was very hot, but dry heat. We travelled to Dallas a lot, not to Fort Worth. It was becoming more and more a sprawling suburb. Now it is filled with people. I experienced the population explosion in the Silicon Valley, California. It was awful for a native.

It grew twice as fast as the next fattest growing city in the US. It is hard for me to see any real long term good coming from such an explosion in Texas. It is going to be too hot, tehy won't be able to keep the grid going, and the climate damage that is so likely to occur because of the strorms coming in from the warming gulf. It seems not very skillful to move there now. Maybe someone can see the positive side to a decision like this.
 
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...and they'll all be sitting in their cars, stuck in traffic jams.

Alternatively, if we have flying cars by then, they'll be crashing into one another, LOL!
 

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