2021-2 NFL Pro Football (pls, no other sports!)

Chiefs lackluster entry was a surprise... saw a item where Mahomes was wearing eyeglasses for reading?

Quarterbacks pat their foot when their about to be sacked, they intend to run in the direction where their patting their foot.
Poor Cardinal QB was patting both feet, At The Same Time when Cards played Green Bay.
I had never seen that before
 

NFL Week 9 Predictions Pt 1 of THREE
NYTimes, WashPost, SB Nation, local media: Nov. 4, 2021 All times Eastern.
Added notes: lethe200 briefly outlines upcoming Week 10 opponents as teams fight to stay in position for the playoffs.

Player updates: LA Rams added Pro Bowl LB Von Miller to an already tremendous defense. Miami did not trade for Deshaun Watson. Odell Beckham Jr. is on waivers from the Browns. The Titans will try to win their remaining games without Derrick Henry. Aaron Rodgers’s positive COVID test has reversed KC’s odds of beating his Packers.

Byes: Buccaneers, Seahawks, Lions, Washington

Sunday’s Best Games
Tennessee Titans at LA Rams, 8:20p, NBC

Pick: Rams
Titans Derrick Henry’s foot surgery will keep him out at least six weeks, devastating for the Titans (6-2), whose workhouse RB had a league-high 237 touches. His replacement, veteran Adrian Peterson, 36, may not find success against the Rams (7-1), who just added Von Miller to an already formidable defensive front. Throwing against LA won’t be any easier, with Titans’ Ryan Tannehill having to account for Jalen Ramsey in the secondary.

Tennessee can still be a playoff team if receivers AJ Brown and Julio Jones get healthy. Brown is out for Wk 9 but Jones was activated. The one piece of good news is that Derrick Henry’s surgery went well. But this is probably not a game that will help the Titans’ stay atop the AFC South. Week 10 will bring the Saints, in a toss-up for Tennessee.

LAR is mortgaging its future to grab the Lombardi Trophy this year. Another plus: so far the injury bug has not seriously hurt the Rams. Adding an aging Von Miller was pretty much a gift from Denver (who will pay his 2021 salary); Miller may have lost a step or two, but rushing in concert with Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd is a nightmare scenario for the toughest QB anywhere, anytime. Miller would love to have a second SB ring, and joining LAR improves his odds no end. After this game, LAR faces the Niners, none of whom have dealt with Von Miller before. It should be interesting.

Rams GM Les Snead has already been heralded for freeing Matthew Stafford from the Lions’ basement. If the Miller deal succeeds as well, the fans are counting it as worthwhile. Stafford has helped make the LAR offense almost as potent as the defense. WR Cooper Kupp was recognized as the NFC Offensive Player of the Month for his October performance – his second time winning in 2021. In October, Kupp had 38 receptions, 557 yds, and 5 TDs.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals, 1p, CBS
Pick: Bengals
The Bengals (5-3) will be eager to show that their loss to the Jets was a fluke. After rushing for a mere 41 yds last week - its lowest total this season - Cincinnati will find a challenge against the Browns’ sixth-ranked rushing defense. Dealing with the Browns will be a good warm-up for the Bengals’ Week 10’s game vs the Raiders, whose D is similar. Burrow needs to be good this week and even better next week, to match LVR’s Derek Carr pass for pass.

This is a must-win for the Browns (4-4), who are in last place in the AFC North and face an almost-insurmountable battle if they lose again to a divisional opponent. Cleveland pass rusher Myles Garrett, the league’s sack leader (10.5), will be motivated to add Joe Burrow to his QB graveyard. The Browns’ sense of urgency about moving out of last place should compel them to at least keep the score tight. In Week 10 the Browns will meet the steadily advancing Patriots.

Odell Beckham Jr. has been released by Cleveland: he must clear waivers and his high salary is also a consideration. Injuries have slowed him, and he’s rumored as being borderline disruptive in the locker room. Beckham can’t sign with whatever team he wants unless he clears waivers. In order the first dozen teams to claim OD2 are: Detroit Lions, Miami Dolphins, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Jets, New York Giants, Washington, Philadelphia Eagles, Seattle Seahawks, Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons, with the Niners rounding out the top 12 teams.

GBay Packers at KC, 4:25p, Fox
Pick: KC
KC (4-4) is not a good team at the moment. The defense has been atrocious, allowing the fourth-most passing yds (2,158) and the eighth-most rushing yds (974). Patrick Mahomes has thrown a league-high 10 interceptions trying to compensate for everyone else’s mistakes. But KC zoomed from +2.5 underdogs to -7.5 favorites with the news that Aaron Rodgers would miss this game after testing positive for the coronavirus.

Still, even without TE Robert Tonyan (knee injury), rookie backup Packers QB Jordan Love should have targets to cut through a meager defense in his first NFL start. The Packers (7-1) have receivers Davante Adams and Allen Lazard back. Week 10 could be interesting, with Seahawks QB Russell Wilson determined to make his return against GBay after finger surgery. Will Rodgers be there to oppose him, or not? Stay tuned.

For Week 10 KC meets the Raiders next. In a turnaround from KC being atop the AFC West division and the Raiders fighting to stay out of the basement of it, in 2021 it's the other way 'round. To say KC fans are bitter about this would be putting it mildly; losing to the Raiders is considered almost as bad as losing a Super Bowl. The two divisional rivals will meet twice over the next month. If emotion can flip KC's season, the KC/Raider games Weeks 10 and 13 should produce a tough fight, even if the Chiefs can't pull off a win (or two). At the very least the Chiefs would love to play spoiler against LVegas.
 
NFL Week 9 Predictions Pt 2 of THREE
NYTimes, WashPost, SB Nation, local media: Nov. 4, 2021 All times Eastern.
Added notes: lethe200 briefly outlines upcoming Week 10 opponents as teams fight to stay in position for the playoffs.

Arizona Cardinals at SF 49ers, 4:25p, Fox
Pick: 49ers (lethe200 note: ?!?! Seriously???)
What a difference a week makes. The Cardinals (7-1) were undefeated through seven games, but a loss to the Packers last week and injuries to cornerstone players forced oddsmakers to downgrade AZ to an underdog this week. QB Kyler Murray (ankle) and WR DeAndre Hopkins are day-to-day, while center Rodney Hudson (rib) is questionable. DE JJ Watt (shoulder; surgery) is done for the year. Even if Colt McCoy has to step in for Murray, the Cardinals have enough offensive firepower to handle the 49ers (3-4), especially if Arizona’s defense makes QB Jimmy Garoppolo struggle.

Week 10 should be easier for AZ: they face the Panthers.

Even if AZ’s Murray and Hopkins stagger off the field after half the game is over, it’s hard for this Niners fan to take seriously anyone who thinks SF can easily handle AZ. The Niners are struggling with far more serious offense and defense injuries, having to list this week their only two good recent weapons, RB Elijah Mitchell and WR Deebo Samuel, as out for Wk 9. Also out is elite pass rusher Dee Ford (concussion; back injury).

On the good side, TE George Kittle returns – hopefully not prematurely as he did before – but he may be rusty after three weeks on IR. SF’s D will be helped by the return of outside LB Azeez Al-Shaair, whose play has been outstanding. DT Trent Williams remains day-to-day although he practiced on Thursday, and the secondary remains weak. Niner fans will be anxious to see if coach Kyle Shanahan continues his improved playcalling from Chicago last week, or relapses into predictability again.

Niners need a win, as their chances against the Rams in Week 10 are slim unless Stafford breaks a leg and half the Rams D goes into quarantine.

Sunday’s Other Games
Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins, 1p, Fox

Pick: Dolphins
The Texans decided to once again help an opponent and traded their best RB, Mark Ingram, which infuriated their top receiver Brandin Cooks. QB Tyrod Taylor’s return to the field for the first time since Week 2 may not help the team’s mood. When Week 10 rolls around the Texans can then lose to the Titans, if anyone is paying attention.

Miami played hard vs the Bills last week before losing. The trade deadline passed, with Tua Tagovailoa still the starting Dolphins QB. What happens next year is anyone’s guess. But expect the Dolphins (1-7) to end a seven-game losing streak in Week 9. Their remaining schedule is on the softer side, starting with the Panthers for Week 10.

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys, 1p, Fox
Pick: Cowboys
The Cowboys (6-1) showed last week they could win without Dak Prescott, and he might take a day off against the Broncos (4-4), too. Denver traded linebacker Von Miller to the Rams this week in a white-flag move for the teetering franchise. It’s an obvious sign the Broncos will be looking to draft a QB in 2022.

Dallas CB Trevon Diggs and left tackle Tyron Smith are both questionable with ankle injuries, butnot even Bronco fans doubt the Cowboys will cover the spread easily. Week 10 brings the Falcons to Dallas, and we will see which version of the Eagles will show up in Denver.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, 1p, Fox
Pick: Saints
Jameis Winston tore his left ACL and will miss the remainder of the season for the Saints (5-2). If Taysom Hill is still in the concussion protocol, journeyman Trevor Siemian will start at QB against the Falcons (3-4). While Coach Sean Payton and the offense adapt to yet another QB change, the Saints will lean on their defense, which has allowed the league’s second-lowest points total (128). The Saints could use a win over the Falcons to keep pace with the Bucs. TBay's Week 10 opponent is the Bears, while the Saints will have a tougher opponent in Week 10 with the Titans.

The Saints need to focus on containing Atlanta’s rookie TE Kyle Pitts, since the Falcons will be without receiver Calvin Ridley, who stepped away from the team to attend to his mental health. Ridley has 31 catches for 281 yards with two touchdowns this season, both team highs for Atlanta. The Falcons are stuck in the NFC South basement, and with a Week 10 game vs Dallas, look likely to stay there.

NE Patriots at Carolina Panthers, 1p, CBS
Pick: Patriots
The Patriots (4-4) are riding a two-game win streak on the strength of an offense finding a rhythm, and a schedule that’s hit a weak stretch. Damien Harris has rushed for 100 yds in two of the last three games and has scored a TD in four consecutive weeks. Hunter Henry, one of two TEs the Patriots signed in free agency this off-season, has scored a TD in four of the last five games. Rookie QB Mac Jones has looked more comfortable under center. After this game, NE faces the Browns, who are having a tougher-than-expected 2021.

The Panthers (4-4) listed QB Sam Darnold as questionable (concussion). It’s unlikely his backup, PJ Walker, will find success against a Bill Belichick defense. If the Panthers are lucky, Darnold will return and be in good form by Week 10, when they meet the AZ Cardinals who will be looking to stay ahead of the star-powered Rams.

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1p, CBS
Pick: Bills
The Bills (5-2) are one of the best NFL teams while the Jaguars (1-6) are one of the worst. Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense should feast on a Jag defense allowing the fifth-most passing yds per game (278.1). Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ offense will struggle against the Bills’ top-ranked defense (1,883 yds allowed). If Buffalo loses an upset, it will be due to sleepwalking.

Buffalo's Week 9 vs the Jags starts a short breather, with Week 10 Jets and Week 11 Colts. Then it toughens up a bit, but still looks likely to keep Buffalo atop the AFC East. The Jaguars struggle with the Colts in Week 10, but it shouldn't be too hard for them to stay ahead of the Texans who are mired in last place in the AFC South.
 

NFL Week 9 Predictions Pt 3 of THREE
NYTimes, WashPost, SB Nation, local media: Nov. 4, 2021 All times Eastern.
Added notes: lethe200 briefly outlines upcoming Week 10 opponents as teams fight to stay in position for the playoffs.

LVegas Raiders at Giants, 1p, CBS
Pick: Raiders
The Raiders (5-2) offense is talented enough to score against the Giants (2-6). LVR released WR Henry Ruggs III, due to his role in a fatal car crash/DUI. Ruggs averaged 19.5 yards per catch on 24 receptions this season, playing a key role. He’ll be missed, with backup Zay Jones expected to take over. The Raiders enjoy a varied receiving corps that gets plenty of receptions, including star TE Darren Waller, starter Bryan Edwards, and slot man Hunter Renfrow. QB Derek Carr takes full advantage of it these post-Gruden days.

The Raiders mustn’t get caught looking ahead, as this is a soft part of their schedule. In Week 13 they meet Dallas, a more complete team in both offense and defense, and the difference might turn out to be coaching.

NYG’s Daniel Jones could again be without his top targets, who were forced out of last week’s loss to KC by injuries. Rookie Kadarius Toney is day-to-day with thumb/ankle injuries, but definitely out are Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard (quad) and Dante Pettis (put on IR). It’s still unknown if Kenny Golladay (knee) will return from a three-game absence although he was at practice Friday. The Giants’ OL is a major reason for their young QB’s lack of impact, and the improved Raiders pass rush is cause for justifiable concern among NYG fans.

The Giants have a bye in Week 10 before facing the Bucs.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens, 1p, Fox
Pick: Ravens
Can the Vikings (3-4) contain the Ravens (5-2), after they could not even beat Dallas’s backup QB last week? Lamar Jackson will salivate over competing against Minnesota’s defense. Baltimore receivers Sammy Watkins (hamstring) and RB Latavius Murray (ankle) will not play, however.

Two months into the 2021 season, Lamar Jackson’s 225 attempts — just over 32 per game — are the most he’s ever thrown over a season’s first seven games as an NFL quarterback. He’s averaging 277.6 passing yards per game, completing 64.9% of his passes and averaging 8.6 yds per attempt, all career-best marks through seven games.

The risky downside of a more pass-first approach: the 21 sacks he’s taken are also the most he’s ever had at this point in the season. Jackson was taken down five times in the Ravens’ Week 7 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, tying a career high. If he can avoid serious injury, the Ravens should have little trouble covering the spread. If not......backup Tyler Huntley will have to prove he deserves the title “Lamar Jackson Light”.

Ravens enjoy a powder-puff schedule in the next few weeks, with Week 10 allowing them the Dolphins, then the Bears and the Browns. Vikings may find their Week 10 opponent, the Chargers, more difficult. It gets worse for Minnesota in Week 11 when archrival GBay comes to town.

LA Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles, 4:05p, CBS
Pick: Chargers
Fans of the Chargers (4-3) should be concerned despite being the favorite. LAC’s defense has allowed the second-most rushing yds this season (1,116), a flaw that has been on display in back-to-back losses. Chargers Coach Brandon Staley is considered one of the best defensive minds in the league, but expect upcoming opponents – including the Vikings ahead in Week 10 and Steelers in Week 11 – to exploit his team until he adjusts.

The Eagles (3-5) had their best rushing game of the season against the Lions last week, running for 236 yds without the starting back Miles Sanders (ankle), who was placed on IR. The underdog Eagles could ride back-up RBs Boston Scott and Jordan Howard to an upset over LAC. A win would give them an emotional lift that could help as they go against Week 10 Broncos and Week 11 Saints.

Monday Night’s Matchup
Chicago Bears at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15p, ESPN

Pick: Steelers
Justin Fields’s highlight TD scramble last Sunday happened because the Bears’ OL, which has allowed the most sacks in the NFL (30), again broke down and forced the rookie QB to escape the pocket.

The Bears (3-5) drafted Fields 11th overall this year in part because of his ability to make unscripted plays, but Chicago’s faulty pass protection leaves him without other options. The Steelers (4-3) traded their pass rusher Melvin Ingram to KC this week but even without him, Pittsburgh should rattle the young passer and cover the spread.

Pittsburgh is on a hot streak of its own. After a frustrating 1-3 start, the Steelers won three straight to climb above .500, their most recent victory a gutty 15-10 win against the Browns. But a peek behind the numbers shows Pittsburgh’s overall performance this season still leaves a lot to be desired.

Pittsburgh averages 5.2 yards per play, eighth-lowest mark in the NFL. That improves to just 5.5 yards per play over the past three games, still a below-average mark. The Steelers are also in the bottom third of the league in down-conversion rate (68%, 28th). Only the Houston Texans are worse.

The Bears will have a bye week, then for Week 11 go up against the Ravens. Meanwhile, the Steelers should keep the Lions winless in Week 10.

Thursday’s Matchup
Colts 45, Jets 30

The Colts won behind three passing TDs from Wentz and 172 rushing yds and a score from RB Jonathan Taylor. RB Nyheim Hines rushed for 74 yds and a TD.

Jets backup Mike White, who did so well last week and was making his second start as Zach Wilson’s knee heals, injured his forearm and left the game in the first half. Josh Johnson, a veteran journeyman, stepped in and played well, throwing for 317 yds, three TDs and an interception. Still, it’s hard for a team to win a game, or even cover a spread, when its defense allows 260 rushing yds. That doesn’t help an offense adjusting to QB instability.

Next up for Colts: the hapless Jaguars. The Jets get to be trampled by the Bills.
 
Lethe 200 post, 'LA Rams added Pro Bowl LB Von Miller to an already tremendous defense.'
That should put the Rams in the Super Bowl
Still think Stafford is not a trustworthy QB

I will have to start paying attention to Titans; Feelslikefar says 'yea.'
But, the AFC North with their dogfights make it difficult to watch other AFC games

Dom M is hoping that none vaccinated Green Bay QB won't play so KC can return to their winning ways.
 
Let's see what games I get...

11:00AM: Denver at Dallas. Denver's gonna get creamed, but I might watch it on my computer so I can do other things at the same time. I don't care who wins.
2:00PM: Chargers vs. Eagles. Same. I'll might watch part of it, but really don't care who wins.
2:00PM: Green Bay at KC. Meh. I liked Green Bay until Aaron Rogers' latest vax fiasco. He's not playing and I'm not watching.
6:20PM: Titans at Rams. Derrick Henry is out for the season, so what could have been a great game could instead be a blowout. I'll watch some of it. I'll probably take a look at 60 Minutes first. Let's see what they're covering...
  • How Daniel Ortega tightened his grip on power in Nicaragua
  • The MASS model of community-focused architecture
  • Yuval Noah Harari on the future of the human race
Those look like interesting stories. I'll probably watch on my computer while doing other things during the commercials.
 
Watched Cowboys inability to pickup linebacker blitz and the resulting confusion of Prescott.

Bengals vs Browns-not available on TV- really wanted to see that :mad:

Late tonight:
Titans uniform closely resembles Ravens, the method of defense is also Ravenlike.
Lot of teams had a bad day, no particular reason, just a bad day-it happens.
Your allowed two bad days per season, a third will take you out of playoffs.
 
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Sigh. Raiders lost to the Giants. LVR will have to cancel all its bye weeks from now on - their record is TERRIBLE after a bye week.

Per SB Nation: "The Raiders are now 2-1 under interim head coach Rich Bisaccia. The Raiders are now 3-16 in the game after their bye since 2003. It’s the worst mark in the NFL during that stretch."

Even worse, not only did they stink up the stadium, they ended with a bunch of players banged up. And next week they play KC, who would dearly love to stick it to the Raiders. They would take great joy in kicking them when they're down, LOL!

Gaaaahhhhh. Hope the Niners do better vs the Cards. It's not looking good over there so far.

Parity is a wonderful thing, making for spirited competition.....until your favorite team(s) lose. Ain't that always the case?

If all else fails, I guess I'll have to watch the Golden State Warriors NBA game tonight. Maybe one of my teams will win today ;) :ROFLMAO:
 
The Bronco's kicked the Cowboy's ass!

bucking-horse-don-langeneckert.jpg
 
Wife is a little down that her team, the 49ers, lost another game.
She has been a fan since her cousin played and was a coach for the 49ers back in the day.
Still follows and cheers for them.
So I'll be watching the Titans game by myself.

Hoping Adrian Peterson helps us win.
 
Like Raiders QB Carr, yesterday he was in la-la land; in the current NFL, your QB can't have a bad day
Mahomes is wandering around in the wilderness, a lost child, but he will return to his former self-yes? YES.
(KC is of interest as their doing the best they can-but far inferior to what they have shown they can do.)

Josh Allen was asleep yesterday, throwing the ball to the other team-it happens.
The Rams have an awesome team, they too went to sleep (Stafford ?)
(The Cardinals QB needs more seasoning to deal with a potentially Super Bowl season.)

Cowboys had a systems failure: QB, wide receivers, Offensive line, coaches inability to alter game plan;
the defense viewed their peers sleeping, "Yea, us go night, night too'...
(Were use to their lay-down behavior.)

As fans, we do not understand why our teams can stink, then next Sunday return to their winning ways.
 
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What We Learned From NFL Week 9 Pt 1 of 3
Week 9 continued wild and woolly. Three division-leading teams got an open-hand slap to their faces. All three teams are led by top-tier QBs – yet on Sunday, all three were awful.
NY Times/WashPost/SB Nation/SI/Local media Nov. 10, 2021

Broncos 30, Cowboys 16.
Dallas suffered an inexplicable loss. Last week back-up QB Cooper Rush filled in and the Cowboys looked like the NFL’s best team. Dak Prescott returned and they couldn’t get out of their own way. The Denver Broncos, last seen barely beating Washington at home and trading Von Miller, threatened to shut out the Cowboys in a lopsided victory that wasn’t close. Still, the Cowboys are the cream of the NFC East and should make it into the playoffs.

The Broncos, meanwhile, may not be dead despite declaring their intention to look toward the future by trading Miller. At 5-4, they are only a half-game out of first place in the AFC West. And at plus-34, they have the best point differential in that competitive division.

Jaguars 9, Bills 6.
This was even uglier than the score implies. The game's one bright note was that Jacksonville’s Josh Allen became the first player in NFL history to sack a QB with the same name … Buffalo’s Josh Allen. The Jags’ Allen also became the first player to intercept a QB of the same name, even adding a fumble recovery to his day.

QB Allen did himself no favors with two costly interceptions. The Bills need to find a ground game. Aside from Allen the team only ran nine times for 22 yds. The most troubling sign? Their nemesis, the Patriots (5-4), are just a half-game back in the division and peaking. The loss may doom Buffalo’s chance of grabbing that bye: they now have three AFC losses, which could be poison for tiebreaker purposes.

Giants 23, Raiders 16.
In one sense the Raiders “outplayed” the Giants as they won the yardage advantage 403 to 245. But NY generated three turnovers to LV’s one, and the latter couldn’t get anything going in the Red Zone (six tries: only one TD). Raiders QB Derek Carr threw two interceptions to Giants safety Xavier McKinney, one a pick-6. Carr’s accuracy was uncharacteristically off; he recorded a season-low 68.2% adjusted completion and his PFF rating was 43.9, the lowest he's received since 2017.

The loss was costly. The AFC West has turned into the most competitive division, the four teams separated by mere fractions. Chargers and Raiders are 5-3, while Chiefs and Broncos are 5-4.

The Giants are now 3-6, still missing Saquon Barkley (who sat out after testing positive for the coronavirus, which did provide some variance from his missing games because of an ankle injury). QB Daniel Jones completed 15 of 20 passes for 110 yds and no interceptions, showing he has taken major strides in improving three of his weakest attributes: accuracy, decision-making and ball security. RB Devontae Booker, 99 yds on 21 carries, nearly matched Jones’s passing yds (110 yds on 20 attempts) with his legs.

Player update: Raiders have cut 1st-round pick CB Damon Arnette after a social media post showing him waiving multiple guns and threatening someone. Last week the team cut WR Henry Ruggs over a fatal DUI crash. To fill the hole left by Ruggs, veteran receiver DeSean Jackson was signed after being released by the Rams last week.

Browns 41, Bengals 16.
Cleveland is built to thwart 2021 NFL defenses, which are universally perching two safeties deep to eliminate the big play. The Browns operate with a 1950’s mentality: they run. Defenses have no choice but to respect RB Nick Chubb by creeping a safety into the box; he is averaging 5.8 YPC.

This frees up Baker Mayfield to hit his receivers deep, which he did with a 60-yard TD pass to Donovan Peoples-Jones off play-action early in Q2 to put Cleveland up 21-7. Mayfield did everything he needed for the win, passing for 218 yds on 14 of 21 attempts with a pair of TD passes, no interceptions.

The Browns (5-4) have also developed a defense that has a hard-hat mentality. Denzel Ward is quietly developing into one of the best shutdown CBs in the league. With a sly tick of hesitation Sunday, Ward baited Burrow into forcing an end zone throw to Ja’Marr Chase, then jumped the route and ran back 99 yds for a pick-6. The loss dropped the Bengals (5-4) into a tie with Cleveland, as both chase the Steelers and Ravens.

Chiefs 13, Packers 7
Rookie Jordan Love played because Aaron Rodgers tested positive this week, setting off a media storm. The reigning league MVP could return to the team as early as Saturday if he provides two negative tests in a 48-hour span and shows no symptoms, which would make him available against the Seattle Seahawks. His return could help the Packers (7-2) play catch-up against the Cardinals (8-1) and Rams (7-2) for the top seed.

But there were moments of optimism. Love showed athleticism and a strong arm, traits which give him a shot at being great. He came alive in Q4 to finish 19 of 34 on his passing attempts for 190 yds, although GBay looked especially ineffectual on third down, converting just two of 12 chances against an awful KC defense.

KC’s plan on defense was simple: Blitz the life out of Love. Steve Spagnuolo, KC defensive coordinator, dared Love to make split-second decisions. Spagnuolo won that bet a lot more often than he lost it, with Love taking seven hits and often forced to let it fly deep up the sideline. Patrick Mahomes remains in a slump (see free access article: https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2021...o-fix-quarterback-patrick-mahomes-nfl-week-10). He completed 20 of 37 passes against the Packers for just 166 yds, with the Chiefs totaling only 237.
 
What We Learned From NFL Week 9 Pt 2 of 3
NY Times/WashPost/SB Nation/SI/Local media Nov. 10, 2021

Titans 28, Rams 16
After routing Jacksonville, outlasting Buffalo, demolishing KC and thwarting Indianapolis, Tennessee beat the Rams. Even without Derrick Henry, Titans find ways to win. The Titans’ imposing defensive front ensured a fifth consecutive win to remain atop as the AFC’s only seven-win team, at the midway point. After LAR had allowed only eight sacks this season, Tennessee sacked Stafford five times, harassed him throughout, and held the high-scoring Rams without a TD until the final 24 seconds.

The Titans are an odd team. They have allowed more yds per play this season than they have gained, a trend that continued Sunday night (4.7 to 3.5). Their last loss was to the Jets, which is mind-boggling in itself.

Von Miller sat out this game with his sore ankle, and though the Rams (7-2) remain a strong contender, they dropped a game behind the AZ Cardinals — who won the teams’ first meeting — in the NFC West.

The Titans’ path to the #1 seed and its home-field advantage, ever more valuable in an expanded postseason configuration that awards only one first-round bye, is manageable. Their only solid opponents coming up are NE and Pittsburgh. Still, upsets are always possible, especially this year.

Cardinals 31, 49ers 17.
With a chance to salvage its season against injury-riddled Arizona, SF’s first string was embarrassed on prime-time TV by AZ’s second-stringers, led by Colt McCoy at QB and Antoine Wesley (who?) at receiver. SF’s unique claim of non-home advantage continued: in their last 12 home games they are 1-11. QB Jimmy G didn’t lose this game for them, although he didn’t help his receivers much with poorly placed passes that left them open to punishing hits.

This time it was SF’s D falling flat on their collective faces. Supposedly their #1 strength, it crumbled this week. There was no pass rush, no QB pressure, no stopping runs or passes. The tackling was abysmal.

Rumblings against HC Kyle Shanahan are growing louder, but similar to LV Raiders’ Jon Gruden situation, Shanahan has 6 yrs remaining on a guaranteed contract. Like Gruden’s contract, Kyle has final say on everything – from the hiring of the GM to the draft.

Shanahan is 32-40 as HC and has not made the playoffs in any season but the Super Bowl run. His decision to trade three #1 picks to move up and take rookie QB Trey Lance may pay off in the future, but so far all it has done is derail a team many expected to compete for the Super Bowl. The Niners now have no first round picks until 2024.

The smart gossip says the patsy to be fired will be GM John Lynch, who just two years ago won PWFA Exec of the Year for the Niners’ turnaround 2019 almost-Super Bowl season. To fans, that feels like a lifetime ago. WashPost described this game as “Niners Are In A Death Spiral”. Ouch!

Chargers 27, Eagles 24.
Underlying the weekend’s strangeness, the Chargers drove 98 yds on one possession, from their 1 to the other 1 – without scoring any points. For most of Sunday, it seemed the Chargers would lose their third straight, but Justin Herbert again proved worthy of inclusion in top-tier NFL QBs. With 6 minutes left, Herbert started from his own 25-yard line and led a 15-play FG drive to win. For the game he completed 32 of 38 passes for 356 yds, two TDs and a 123.2 rating. Herbert is the first QB in NFL history to reach 600 completions in his first 25 starts.

Jalen Hurts played a solid game for Philadelphia, completing 11 of 17 passes for 162 yds and a score while adding 62 yds on 10 carries. Rookie WR Devonta Smith had 116 yds and a TD on five catches, but Philadelphia’s record fell to 3-6.

Despite the loss, the Eagles came out ahead! The Eagles are invested in the Colts’ success this season because of how they were compensated in the Wentz trade. They received a third-round pick in 2021 and a conditional second-round pick in 2022. That 2022 pick becomes a first-rounder if Wentz plays 75% of the Colts’ regular season snaps, or 70% of snaps if the Colts make the playoffs.

Carson Wentz did his old team a favor Thursday night: they beat the Jets. Their 4-5 record is enough to keep pace with the Titans, who must win the AFC South without injured RB Derrick Henry.

The Eagles have their own pick, plus the first-rounder they got from the Dolphins when Miami moved up to draft Jaylen Waddle in April. Given the Dolphins’ sad 2-7 record, that Miami pick could be a huge asset. With Wentz playing 99% of Indianapolis’s snaps, the Eagles are in good position to add that third first-round pick in 2022.

Patriots 24, Panthers 6.
Coach Bill Belichick has yet another team (5-4) peaking at the perfect time. NE ran 39 times, threw just 18 times and had Panthers QB Sam Darnold (26.3 passer rating) seeing more ghosts than ever. Bill Belichick continued his habit of making Darnold miserable, who threw three interceptions. The best came from Jamie Collins, the hyper-athletic linebacker in his third Patriots stint, who leaped incredibly high to snag a Darnold pass that would have been out of reach for 99% of linemen.

Carolina’s season promises to get worse as Darnold is expected to miss several weeks with a partially broken scapula. Backup quarterback PJ Walker takes over in time to face Week 10 AZ Cardinals, who may take the opportunity to let QB Kyler Murray’s medial ankle sprain rest up another week, as back-up Colt McCoy had no trouble with the flailing Niner D last week.
 
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What We Learned From NFL Week 9 Pt 3 of 3
NY Times/WashPost/SB Nation/SI/Local media Nov. 10, 2021

Falcons 27, Saints 25.
Only time will tell if Atlanta did the right thing by passing on a QB in the 2021 draft. On Sunday, the 36-year-old veteran Matt Ryan kept the Falcons relevant. Ryan hit Cordarrelle Patterson for a 64-yard pass with about a minute left to set up a game-winning FG. This marked Ryan’s 41st career game-winning drive, passing John Elway and Matthew Stafford for seventh on the career list. Previously unknown Falcons’ WR Olamide Zaccheaus caught a beautiful 49-yd pass from Ryan, one of three he caught for the game. Up to Sunday Zaccheaus had caught only one pass for 15 yds in 2021.

More often than not, the Saints (5-3) seem to struggle with the inferior teams but rise to the occasion against the elite competition. Dropped passes were legion and penalties came at inopportune times. Their defense suffered what is hoped to be just a bad night. In an update, Bucs LB Devon White was fined by the NFL $15,450 for unnecessary roughness in causing the season-ending injury to Saints QB Jameis Winston, and $10,300 for taunting.

Ravens 34, Vikings 31 (OT)
Lamar Jackson became the first NFL QB this season to win three games after trailing by double-digits, digging the Ravens out of a 17-3, second-quarter hole with both his arm (266 yds, three TDs) and his legs (120 yds on 21 carries). The performance may give Jackson, the 2019 MVP, the edge as the front-runner to win this season’s award. No team is more reliant on any player than the Ravens are on Jackson.

The Vikings (3-5) are struggling in the NFC North, far behind GBay’s 7-2 record. They are ahead of the Bears (3-6) and the winless Lions, but that’s not saying much. Fans are becoming frustrated with the vanilla play-calling that doesn’t take much advantage of QB Kirk Cousins’ strong arm and good receiving corps.

Making matters worse, the Vikings are struggling with the beginnings of a COVID issue as they try to get ready for week 10 vs the Chargers.

Dolphins 17, Texans 9.
We hope nobody wasted a Sunday watching any of this game between two teams going nowhere. In week 10 the Ravens will try to peck the Dolphins and the Titans should find a way to step on the Texans.

Monday Night Football:
Steelers 29, Bears 27.
QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers caught a series of breaks from the officiating, put together a game-winning drive after falling behind late and got their fourth straight victory, after starting the season 1-3. They pulled to within a game of the first-place Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. The Steelers benefited from some questionable calls against the Bears, one on a TD nullified by an illegal-block penalty and another on a key taunting call.

Roethlisberger threw two TD passes to rookie TE Pat Freiermuth. Rookie tailback Najee Harris added a TD run and kicker Chris Boswell provided three FGs. His last was a 40-yard FG with 26 seconds remaining to win it for the Steelers.

Bears kicker Cairo Santos missed a 65-yard FG attempt as time expired when the ball fell short. WR Darnell Mooney had a TD run and a TD catch for the Bears, whose record dropped to 3-6. The Bears also scored a Q4 TD on a return of a fumble on a punt return by the Steelers.
 
Raiders in the news-for all the wrong reasons, Al Davis smiles😊
Their again pursuing the 'bad boy' title.
Whatever they are, their interesting.

Still think Cleveland will take division crown; it is difficult to discount Steelers and Ravens,
but Cleveland appears to be more consistent. 😟

Still looks like Rams or Cardinals in Super Bowl from NFC- AFC represented by 😶.
"Where's the Beef?" The beef is on Rams Offensive and Defensive Lines.

Chief's slump continues,

Houston lost, it is sad when a team becomes a joke:
"Houston lose again." This is a statement, not a question.
 
Hot off the wire report:

Odell Beckham has just signed a 1-yr deal with the LA Rams. Aaron Rodgers made a personal pitch to have OD2 join GBay, but it didn't work.

AND

Cam Newton reportedly signed a contract with his old team, the Carolina Panthers, through the end of the 2021 season worth up to $10M. He will receive $4.5M guaranteed and $1.5M in an unspecified roster bonus. The remaining value of the contract will be tied up in incentives. This comes from reporting by NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport.
 
You'll remember how the press pursued Newton in the locker room after the Panther's loss in the Super Bowl?
No coach, or any other team member came to his aid; I watched, I felt embarrassment of antics of press.
Also, continued question in off season: I always felt this had a lot to do with his demise as a QB.

Bad Beckham, Beckham killed Cowboys as a rookie, him and his one-handed catcher.
:mad:
 
NFL Week 10 Predictions Pt 1 of 2
The gulf between the two conferences will show when KC and the LVegas Raiders vie in the jammed AFC West, and the Cleveland Browns try to derail the Patriots, while the Rams roll.
NYT / WashPost / SI / Local media 11/12/2021. All times Eastern.

Byes: Bears, Bengals, Texans, Giants

In the NFC, just five teams - the Arizona Cardinals, LA Rams, GBay Packers, TBay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys - are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. There’s more parity in the AFC, where the 7-2 Titans have the best record, pacing nine other teams with respectable odds of playing in the NFL’s final game of the season.

That logjam should start to clear Sunday, when LVegas and KC will try to gain ground in the AFC West, where a mere half-game separates first place from last. The Cleveland Browns will be without RB Nick Chubb as they try to stop the streaking NE Patriots, who are creeping up on the Bills’ half-game lead in the AFC East.

Thursday’s Matchup
Dolphins 22, Ravens 10

Miami unexpectedly upset Baltimore in a game fit for Thursday night. An injured Tua Tagovailoa came off the bench in Q3 to relieve an injured Jacoby Brissett to lead the Dolphins (3-7) to their second win in a row. Tagovailoa completed 8 of 13 passes for 158 yds. He also rushed 1 yard for a TD with 2:19 to play in Q4.

The Dolphins’ defense shut down the Ravens’ offense, holding Baltimore (6-3) to 304 total yds and 2 of 14 on third-down attempts. Lamar Jackson completed 26 of 43 passes for 238 yds, a TD in Q4 and an interception that was turned into a pick-6.

Sunday’s Best Games

KC at LVegas Raiders, 8:20p, NBC

Pick: KC
KC (5-4) and LVegas (5-3) are both trying to keep pace in the AFC West, where the Raiders and Chargers are tied for the division lead. KC has the greater urgency here: a loss drops its odds of reaching the postseason to 34%.

This will be a test of two suspect defenses. KC is 1-4 against AFC teams and its offense has been frustrated when defenses employ two high safeties, goading Patrick Mahomes into 10 interceptions so far. Against Raiders DE Maxx Crosby, who is tied for second-most in QB hits (19), KC might struggle to keep the score close.

The stats show the KC offense continues to chug along despite those uncharacteristic turnovers from QB Patrick Mahomes. KC is scoring 2.4 points per drive this season, the eighth-highest rate in the NFL, with a below-average rate of three-and-outs (22% vs. a 30% league average). According to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs have the 10th-best offense overall after adjusting for strength of schedule, while Pro Football Focus ranks its pass-blocking fifth-best in the league.

The Raiders’ defense is rated just average (14th, per Football Outsiders), so the betting says KC will win a close game. Much depends on whether Raiders Derek Carr rebounds from a mediocre performance last week, when the entire team seemed to get caught looking ahead to tougher games down the road.

Cleveland Browns at NE Patriots, 1p, CBS
Pick: Patriots
The Patriots (5-4) are riding a three-game winning streak, sniffing at the AFC East lead, and playing with surprising consistency considering rookie QB Mac Jones has finished only two games with a completion percentage below 60%. NE has been able to lean on Damien Harris, who is tied for third in rushing TDs (7) and ranks ninth in yds (547).

Cleveland has a solid run defense (fifth-best, per Football Outsiders) with a formidable pass rush that should be able to handle NE’s average pass-blocking OL enough to rattle QB Mac Jones. The rookie’s completion rate drops from 72% in a clean pocket to 56% when under pressure. His rate of turnover-worthy plays, as graded by Pro Football Focus, increases from 1.2% to 5.7% in those situations.

The Browns (5-4) allow only 84.8 rushing yds per game, a factor that could unbalance the Patriots’ offense. Cleveland’s aggressive defense should carry the win, altho it’s not certain Browns RB Nick Chubb will play after a positive test for coronavirus. Chubb must be symptom free and twice test negative 24 hours apart to be eligible to play Sunday. The Browns (5-4) would also need to activate him by 4p Saturday for Chubb.

Sunday’s Other Games

Minnesota Vikings at LA Chargers, 4:05p, Fox

Pick: Chargers
Winning a close game against the Eagles last week does not hide the fact the Chargers (5-3) still need to fix the worst rushing defense in the league. QB Justin Herbert pulled out a win last week and may need to do it again if Dalvin Cook plays.

Does Minnesota (3-5) play Dalvin Cook after an ex-girlfriend’s civil suit this week accused him of assault and battery? He’s the league’s eighth-leading rusher (554 yds), and with him the Vikes can count on being able to keep the score close until LAC forces its opponents Ds to add another dimension.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys, 1p, Fox
Pick: Cowboys
The Atlanta Sports Curse seems to be fading. Its Major League Baseball team won the World Series, the Georgia Bulldogs are undefeated and ranked No. 1 in the College Football Playoff, and the Falcons (4-4) are surging, winners of three of their last four games.

The Cowboys (6-2), though, can throw salt at all that Sunday. Coming off an embarrassing loss to the Broncos last week, Dallas will have something to prove. Dak Prescott should be better with another week to heal from his calf injury and if the other skill-position players remember how to catch a football, the Cowboys’ offense should succeed against an Atlanta defense that has allowed more than 30 points in three games this season.
 
NFL Week 10 Predictions Pt 2 of 2
NYT / WashPost / SI / Local media 11/12/2021. All times Eastern.

Byes: Bears, Bengals, Texans, Giants

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans, 1p, CBS
Pick: Titans
The Saints (5-3) are marching into Tennessee and bringing their inconsistencies with them. New Orleans has been the toughest team to predict all season, and after winning three straight games, they lost to the inferior Falcons last week. Sure would have been nice to see Titans Derrick Henry vs. Saints Alvin Kamara, but alas, it was not to be.

The Titans (7-2), meanwhile, have been steady, and continued their ascent last week, even without the workhorse RB Derrick Henry. Tennessee’s defense sacked Rams QB Matthew Stafford five times and so could rattle Saints backup Trevor Siemian. The Saints’ defense is strong, but the Titans should be able to take this one if they can score proficiently with their play-action.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts, 1p, CBS
Pick: Colts
Flukes happen. That the Jaguars (2-6) beat the Bills in Week 9 does not change that Jacksonville is still perhaps one of the worst teams in the league. Repeating that four-sack performance against the Colts (4-5) probably won’t happen because Indianapolis will run often with Jonathan Taylor, who ranks second in the NFL in rushing yds (821) and TDs (8). If the Colts lean on Taylor for offensive production and clock management, they will void the potential for turnovers and miscues that allowed Jacksonville to upset Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills at Jets, 1p, CBS
Pick: Bills
The Bills (5-3) will be hungry and motivated after their embarrassing loss to the Jaguars, and their defense, which ranks first in fewest passing yds allowed (1,416), should be able to chomp on a Jets (2-6) team that will start an injured backup QB. While 49ers fans cringed at DC DeMeco Ryans’ defense last Sunday, it’s worth noting former Niners DC Robert Saleh was coaching a Jets team that yielded 45 points.

Jets Coach Robert Saleh said Wednesday that Mike White will again start in place of Zach Wilson (knee). White has thrown for five TDs in seven quarters, but got a nerve contusion in his right forearm against the Colts last week. Buffalo should put up most of the points expected in this one.

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1p, Fox
Pick: Steelers
Don’t bet on the Lions (0-8) to finally win their first game this week. The Steelers have allowed the second-fewest yds in the NFL (2,420) and TJ Watt, who has posted the second-most sacks this season (11.5) should be in contention for the Defensive Player of the Year Award. Detroit’s moral victories of playing competitively against good teams have not yet translated to actual wins. Until the Lions show they can both make good calls and execute them late in games, they will continue to justify the spread against them. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin has never lost to Detroit (4-0 after this), nor has any coach this season.

TBay Buccaneers at Washington Footballers, 1p, Fox
Pick: Buccaneers
A rematch of last season’s NFC wild-card matchup that TBay won 31-23 shouldn’t be as close this time around. The defense that carried the Footballers (2-6) to the playoffs last year has allowed the sixth-most passing yds so far this year. That benefits the Buccaneers (6-2) as Tom Brady ranks second in passing yds (2,650) and first in TDs (25), even with the playing statuses of receiver Antonio Brown (ankle) and TE Rob Gronkowski (back) still unclear.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05p, Fox
Pick: Cardinals
The Sam Darnold experiment for the Panthers (4-5) is puttering out. Even before he fractured his shoulder last week against the Patriots, he was tied for first in the league in interceptions (11), and his three turnovers against NE caused Coach Matt Rhule to waffle on calling Darnold the starter moving forward. Now, with Darnold out likely for four to six weeks, PJ Walker’s audition gets extended against the Cardinals (8-1).

AZ’s offense played effectively even without Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins last week. They remain questionable, plus the team lost RB Chase Edmonds for multiple weeks with a high ankle sprain. Still, that means more touches for James Conner, who is tied for the NFL lead in rushing TDs (10) and carried the offense against SF in Week 9. Even if QB Murray doesn’t play, the Cardinals should prevail. Arizona could clinch its first winning season since a 2015 run to the NFC finals.

Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos, 4:25p, CBS
Pick: Broncos
The Broncos (5-4) finally won a game against a strong opponent when the rookie RB Javonte Williams recorded the first 100-yard game of his career last week against the Cowboys. Denver could pad its record with another win before getting to the heart of conference play. Williams could again go off against the Eagles (3-6), whose interior defense has allowed the seventh-most rushing yds (1,077) in the league. Denver sends thanks to the scheduling czar and should beat an NFC East opponent for a third straight week.

Seattle Seahawks at GBay Packers, 4:25p, Fox
Pick: Packers
Russell Wilson returns for the Seahawks (3-5) after recovering from finger surgery while Aaron Rodgers’s status is still unclear as he still needs to clear Covid-19 protocols after testing positive for the coronavirus two weeks ago. Assuming Rodgers plays, the Packers (7-2) should slice through Seattle’s defense, which has given up the ninth-most yds in the league (3,212). Even if his backup, Jordan Love, commandeers GBay’s offense, a healthy dose of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon out of the backfield should be enough to cover the spread.

Monday’s Matchup

LA Rams at SF 49ers, 8:15p, ESPN

Pick: Rams
LA is clearly the better team, and SF has been a disappointment with continued injuries, as was the case last season. The 49ers (3-5) should be making some tweaks to generate better matchups. TE George Kittle will likely be used mostly as a blocker with Von Miller expected to make his Rams debut; and WR Deebo Samuel may go one-on-one against LAR CB Jalen Ramsey. But if the Rams (7-2) can continue to play with urgency, Samuel and Kittle won’t be enough for SF to prevail.
 
Ravens lose to Dolphins = How! Another one of those mysterious failures that lasted the entire game.
The Ravens needed a win.

Titians will be anxious to extend their lead, will not allow upset (this week).
Conference has two teams, Titians and Colts

Cleveland vs Belicheck-Mayfield will figure out defenses,
then a laugher against Lions
Then, hang onto your hat
Ravens-twice!
Raiders
Packers
That schedule could knock anyone out of playoffs


KC vs Raiders has become important game.

Super Bowl Teams in NFC
Cardinals might be best team in NFC -they better be. I don't think their QB can prevail over two games in the playoffs.
Difficult to go against Rams, but Stafford?
The Cheese Eaters, not on my post

Go Bills and____________?

Houston will lose this Sunday.
NFL Commissioner allows Houston to sit out last game of season,
they still lose.
 
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Not true, Rogers got 48 years for endangering public (Well maybe that was just my e-mail to judge.)

With Wilson not fully recovered and Rodgers continued petulance-you gott'a root for Seattle, even though it hurts.
 


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