Week 8 had its ups and downs. Now we're into the serious second half of the season:
NFL Week 9 Predictions: Picks Against the Spread
Plan your Sunday however you wish, but set a reminder to watch the Baltimore Ravens host the New England Patriots (all game times EST–Daylight Savings Time has ended!)
NY Times by Benjamin Hoffman, Nov. 1, 2019
Edited with irreverence by Lethe200; her comments in italics.
Thursday’s Matchup: Niners get past the Cardinals to remain unbeaten
Jimmy Garoppolo threw a career-high 4 touchdown passes. SF was leading by 28-14 more than five minutes into the fourth quarter, when Arizona rallied to score 11 points for a final score of 28-25. Regardless, the 49ers improved to 8-0 for the first time since 1990 and just the third time in franchise history.
Niners' struggles may have been fatigue; they were playing on 3 days rest. 10 days of recovery time presents them with the biggest test of their season: Nov 11 Monday Nite Football vs arch-rivals Seattle Seahawks, who are in 2nd place behind them in the NFC West.
Patriots at Ravens, 8:20 p.m., NBC
According to NFL.com, NE is No. 1 in the NFL in total yards allowed a game, No. 2 in pass defense and No. 4 in rushing defense, with 19 interceptions. But the list of victims is not impressive. Pittsburgh, Miami, Jets, Buffalo, Washington, Giants, the Jets again and Cleveland: only one team has a winning record.
Now comes the real test. Lamar Jackson has been a sensation for the Ravens (5-2). Expecting a second-year quarterback to beat a Bill Belichick defense may be far-fetched. But if Jackson can keep his head and avoid turnovers, Baltimore could make this a close game. An upset is not entirely out of the question.
Last week Ravens D harassed Seattle's Russell Wilson and forced his first 2019 interception. But if anyone can handle Lamar Jackson, it might be Belichick's team. I agree on the Patriots, but this game is the week's "must watch".
Vikings at Chiefs, 1 p.m., Fox
The Chiefs (5-3) QB Matt Moore, who came out of retirement to be Mahomes’s backup, has played far better than expected. If Mahomes plays, even if he is limited, Kansas City could be favored over the Vikings (6-2), especially when you consider the team’s recent improvements at pressuring the quarterback. But if Moore starts, he should not be expected to perform well for a third straight week. There is a reason he was retired. Pick: Vikings. Agree if the KC QB is Moore.
Texans at Jaguars, 9:30 a.m., NFL Network
The Texans (5-3) present a challenge to the (4-4) Jaguars. TX QB Deshaun Watson got kicked in the face last week, sustaining a serious eye injury, but recovered to throw a go-ahead touchdown pass on the same play. It was the type of shocking display that a team can rally around for weeks, even with the devastating news that J.J. Watt is out for the rest of the season with a torn pectoral muscle. Pick: Texans. Agree.
Packers at Chargers, 4:25 p.m., CBS
The Pack had a rough win vs the Patrick Mahomes-less Chiefs last week. But the Chargers (3-5) would be on a four-game losing streak if not for Chicago kicker Eddy Pineiro shanking a 41-yard field-goal attempt last week. This should get the Packers back on track. Agree!
Sunday's Other Games
Browns at Broncos, 4:25 p.m., CBS
The morale of both teams is not great. The Browns (2-5) have Baker Mayfield is fighting the media. Both Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry are walking wounded. Broncos (2-6) QB Joe Flacco publicly criticized the team’s offensive approach and then was declared too injured to play. Flacco will be replaced by Brandon Allen, a 27-year-old out of Arkansas who has never thrown a pass in the NFL There is no way of knowing how Allen will perform in his first pro game but Denver’s defense, with help from Mayfield’s turnovers, may take care of the scoring. Pick: Broncos. Agree.
Bears at Eagles, 1 p.m., Fox
The Eagles (4-4) look dominant some weeks but inept in others. A home game against the Bears (3-4) shouldn’t require any defensive reinforcements, especially not with Eagles receiver DeSean Jackson and RB Darren Sproles returning for the offense. Pick: Eagles. Agree.
Colts at Steelers, 1 p.m., CBS
The Colts (5-2) have won three consecutive exciting games. Steelers (3-4) have won their last two games, but did not face real competition. Colts are a narrow favorite, but if Pittsburgh RB James Conner (shoulder) cannot suit up, this might be an easy road win for the Colts. Pick: Colts. Agree.
Titans at Panthers, 1 p.m., CBS
Can Titans (4-4) QB Ryan Tannehill can keep the ball rolling? Or will Panthers (4-3) QB Kyle Allen pick up his dream season again as the fill-in for the injured Cam Newton? Allen threw three interceptions to the SF Niners D last week. It's a tossup, but NYTimes picks the Panthers. I guess I agree, but it's hard for me to put faith in Tannehill.
Buccaneers at Seahawks, 4:05 p.m., Fox
Seahawks (6-2) have the NFL’s ninth most productive rushing offense, but it is a system of repetition, not one of efficiency. Seattle averages an impressive 130 yards per game, but it does so on just 4.1 yards a carry. That may not get far against the Bucs (2-5) who lead the NFL in both rushing D (68.6 yards per game) and fewest yards per carry (3.0). Seattle’s defensive shortcomings may bite them, even with QB Russell Wilson on their side. Pick: Seahawks.
Agree: Bucs QB Winston doesn't always rise to the occasion; but SHawks QB Wilson very often does. The Bucs secondary is awful; its pass defense currently ranks 25th. It’s dead last in terms of yards allowed per game (304.5 ypg). The secondary is tied for the seventh-most touchdowns allowed (11) and 36.4 percent of passes have gone for a first down (12th worst).
Lions at Raiders, 4:05 p.m., Fox
In spite of Lions QB Matthew Stafford productive yardage stats, the Lions (3-3-1) never seem to be very good. The Raiders (3-4) allow an average of nearly 290 passing yards a game, so expecting Stafford to throw for 400 or more would not be unrealistic. Nor would expecting Stafford to do so and still lose. Pick: Raiders.
Agree. Raiders are not a very good team, but the Road Trip From Hell is finally over and despite the Oakland Coliseum being a genuine falling-apart dump, the fans are likely to give their beloved team an emotional boost. There are only 6 home games left before the Raiders leave for LVegas, so the place will be packed for every one of those games. Also, Raiders vs Chargers for Week 10 Thurs Nite Football, at Oakland, may feature two tired teams.
Jets at Dolphins, 1 p.m., CBS
The Dolphins (0-7) have people speculating about whether they are the worst team in NFL history, but it’s possible the Jets (1-6) are in a worse place emotionally. That their best player, Jamal Adams, publicly berated the Jets for considering trading him after he asked to stay through the rebuilding process says a lot. This game is a tossup, regardless of a talent imbalance, so if you insist on placing a bet, go with the home underdog. Pick: Jets. No opinion. This is a game for die-hard fans or masochists.
Redskins at Bills, 1 p.m., Fox
The Bills (5-2) had lost only one game, to NE, and were expected to continue streaking against an inconsistent Eagles team. Instead they were crushed, looking inferior to Philadelphia on both sides of the ball. There should be no such issues against the Redskins (1-7). Buffalo should get back on the winning track, but a big spread is hard to justify for a team that has such a conservative approach. Pick: Buffalo. Agree.
Monday’s Matchup: Cowboys at Giants, 8:15 p.m., ESPN
The Cowboys (4-3) are coming off a bye, with morale high after a Week 7 win against Philadelphia in which the return of Tyron Smith and La’el Collins allowed Dallas to suddenly run the ball again. The Giants (2-6) lost a shootout last week, with Daniel Jones finally having a good game after three stinkers in a row. Beating the Cowboys, especially at home, is a major goal of any Giants quarterback, but keeping this one fairly close is a more reasonable aim. Pick: Cowboys. Agree